Where and when is CA Estudiantes vs Ferro Carril Oeste played?

CA Estudiantes vs Ferro Carril Oeste is played on August 30, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Caseros, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

CA Estudiantes vs Ferro Carril Oeste: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 27Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Caseros, Caseros, Provincia de Buenos Aires

CA Estudiantes

Ferro Carril Oeste

The Footlab model makes CA Estudiantes the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Ferro Carril Oeste. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CA Estudiantes vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate CA Estudiantes (1,789) and Ferro Carril Oeste (1,809).

CA Estudiantes win39 %

Draw30 %

Ferro Carril Oeste win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CA Estudiantes have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Ferro Carril Oeste have 12, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CA Estudiantes
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Central Norte(away)	1-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	Chacarita Juniors(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 8, 2026	Deportivo Madryn(home)	0-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026	Defensores De Belgrano(away)	1-1	Primera Nacional
Jul 25, 2026	Ciudad de Bolívar(home)	1-2	Primera Nacional

Ferro Carril Oeste
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Atlanta(home)	3-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Los Andes(away)	2-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026	Godoy Cruz(home)	1-3	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Deportivo Moron(away)	0-4	Primera Nacional
Jul 17, 2026	Colon Santa Fe(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 CA Estudiantes win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ferro Carril Oeste win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	Ferro Carril Oeste 0-1 CA Estudiantes	Primera Nacional
Jun 23, 2024	Ferro Carril Oeste 2-2 CA Estudiantes	Primera Nacional
Feb 3, 2024	CA Estudiantes 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste	Primera Nacional
Jul 9, 2023	CA Estudiantes 1-2 Ferro Carril Oeste	Primera Nacional
Mar 5, 2023	Ferro Carril Oeste 0-2 CA Estudiantes	Primera Nacional
Jun 4, 2022	CA Estudiantes 1-2 Ferro Carril Oeste	Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Ferro Carril Oeste vs CA Estudiantes on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

CA Estudiantes score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ferro Carril Oeste score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
CA Estudiantes	1.1	0.9	5	8/15	5/15
Ferro Carril Oeste	1.6	1.0	6	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

CA Estudiantes sit 7th in Primera Nacional (35 points from 26 matches) and Ferro Carril Oeste sit 1st (49 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	25	15	4	6	31	23	49
7	CA Estudiantes	26	9	8	9	23	22	35

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CA Estudiantes vs Ferro Carril Oeste?: The Footlab model makes CA Estudiantes the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Ferro Carril Oeste.
Where and when is CA Estudiantes vs Ferro Carril Oeste played?: CA Estudiantes vs Ferro Carril Oeste is played on August 30, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Caseros, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.