Match

Urawa vs Cerezo Osaka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama

UrawaCerezo Osaka

The Footlab model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Urawa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Urawa vs Cerezo Osaka?

A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Urawa (1,930) and Cerezo Osaka (2,017).

Urawa win33 %
Draw25 %
Cerezo Osaka win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Urawa have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Cerezo Osaka have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Urawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)1-4J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)3-4J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Omiya Ardija(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2026FC Ryukyu(away)4-5Friendlies Clubs
Cerezo Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(home)1-0J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(away)0-3J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Fagiano Okayama(home)2-1J1 League
Jul 29, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 15, 2026Tochigi City(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Urawa win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Cerezo Osaka win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 28, 2025Urawa 0-0 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
Mar 28, 2025Cerezo Osaka 1-1 UrawaJ1 League
Oct 5, 2024Urawa 0-1 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
Jun 15, 2024Cerezo Osaka 2-1 UrawaJ1 League
Jul 16, 2023Cerezo Osaka 2-0 UrawaJ1 League
Mar 4, 2023Urawa 2-1 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Urawa vs Cerezo Osaka on May 28, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Urawa score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cerezo Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Urawa1.51.848/157/15
Cerezo Osaka1.91.159/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Urawa sit 19th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Cerezo Osaka sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Cerezo Osaka3201346
19Urawa30035110

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Urawa vs Cerezo Osaka?
The Footlab model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Urawa.
Where and when is Urawa vs Cerezo Osaka played?
Urawa vs Cerezo Osaka is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Urawa and Cerezo Osaka

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