Where and when is Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol played?

Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol is played on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Toyota

Nagoya Grampus

Kashiwa Reysol

The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Nagoya Grampus. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Nagoya Grampus (1,953) and Kashiwa Reysol (2,026).

Nagoya Grampus win34 %

Draw25 %

Kashiwa Reysol win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nagoya Grampus have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Kashiwa Reysol have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nagoya Grampus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Gainare Tottori(home)	1-3	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kashima(away)	1-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	0-1	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	Consadole Sapporo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Kashiwa Reysol
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Senshu University(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	4-2	J1 League
Aug 14, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(away)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	2-1	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	JEF United Chiba(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nagoya Grampus win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Kashiwa Reysol win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 8, 2025	Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
Apr 29, 2025	Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
Jul 14, 2024	Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
Jun 9, 2024	Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol	J-League Cup
Jun 5, 2024	Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 Nagoya Grampus	J-League Cup
Mar 16, 2024	Kashiwa Reysol 0-2 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus on Nov 8, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kashiwa Reysol score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nagoya Grampus	1.5	1.8	2	11/15	11/15
Kashiwa Reysol	1.6	1.2	3	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nagoya Grampus sit 13th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Kashiwa Reysol	3	3	0	0	9	4	9
13	Nagoya Grampus	3	1	0	2	4	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol?: The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Nagoya Grampus.
Where and when is Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol played?: Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol is played on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.