Where and when is Shimizu S-pulse vs Cerezo Osaka played?

Shimizu S-pulse vs Cerezo Osaka is played on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Shimizu S-pulse vs Cerezo Osaka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka

Shimizu S-pulse

Cerezo Osaka

The Footlab model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Shimizu S-pulse. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Cerezo Osaka?

Cerezo Osaka starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (2,019 vs 1,901).

Shimizu S-pulse win32 %

Draw26 %

Cerezo Osaka win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimizu S-pulse have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Cerezo Osaka have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Shimizu S-pulse
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Osaka(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(home)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-0	J1 League
Jul 18, 2026	Karlsruher SC(away)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

Cerezo Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	FC Gifu(home)	3-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(home)	2-1	J1 League
Jul 29, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Shimizu S-pulse win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Cerezo Osaka win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Cerezo Osaka 1-0 Shimizu S-pulse	J1 League
May 6, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse 1-1 Cerezo Osaka	J1 League
Mar 7, 2026	Cerezo Osaka 0-0 Shimizu S-pulse	J1 League
Nov 9, 2025	Shimizu S-pulse 1-4 Cerezo Osaka	J1 League
Jun 1, 2025	Cerezo Osaka 4-2 Shimizu S-pulse	J1 League
Jun 26, 2022	Cerezo Osaka 1-1 Shimizu S-pulse	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Shimizu S-pulse score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cerezo Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Shimizu S-pulse	0.9	1.3	1	9/15	6/15
Cerezo Osaka	1.9	1.1	4	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Cerezo Osaka sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Cerezo Osaka	3	2	0	1	3	4	6
15	Shimizu S-pulse	3	1	0	2	1	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Shimizu S-pulse vs Cerezo Osaka?: The Footlab model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Shimizu S-pulse.
Where and when is Shimizu S-pulse vs Cerezo Osaka played?: Shimizu S-pulse vs Cerezo Osaka is played on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.