Match

Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueMatchday 25Kick-off on March 10, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)K’s Denki Stadium, Mito

Mito HollyhockCerezo Osaka

The Footlab AI model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cerezo Osaka wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,775 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?

Cerezo Osaka starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (2,041 vs 1,842).

22%25%53%
Mito Hollyhock winDrawCerezo Osaka win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mito Hollyhock

4-4-2
  1. 30J. Okumura
  2. 9R. Nemoto
  1. 19T. Semba
  2. 44M. Nishihara
  3. 20Y. Funabashi
  4. 22K. Taniguchi
  1. 17K. Itakura
  2. 3K. Osaki
  3. 16Y. Tamura
  4. 25T. Mase
  1. 27J. Słowik

Cerezo Osaka

3-4-2-1
  1. 7S. Uejo
  1. 77Lucas Fernandes
  2. 10S. Tanaka
  3. 16H. Okuda
  4. 66A. Ohata
  5. 41Y. Komi
  6. 36J. Irvine
  1. 27Dion-Johan Cools
  2. 4R. Inoue
  3. 97T. Takahashi
  1. 23Kosuke Nakamura

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:21 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mito Hollyhock have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Cerezo Osaka have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mito Hollyhock
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026JEF United Chiba(away)0-1J1 League
Oct 31, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)0-3J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)1-3J-League Cup
Oct 25, 2026FC Tokyo(away)0-6J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Fagiano Okayama(away)0-2J1 League
Cerezo Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 11, 2026Urawa(away)0-2J-League Cup
Nov 8, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)3-2J1 League
Oct 31, 2026Kashima(away)1-4J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Mito Hollyhock(away)3-1J-League Cup
Oct 25, 2026JEF United Chiba(home)2-2J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Mito Hollyhock wins, 3 draws, 2 Cerezo Osaka wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 28, 2026Mito Hollyhock 1-3 Cerezo OsakaJ-League Cup
Oct 30, 2016Cerezo Osaka 2-2 Mito HollyhockJ2 League
Mar 6, 2016Mito Hollyhock 0-1 Cerezo OsakaJ2 League
Sep 23, 2015Cerezo Osaka 2-2 Mito HollyhockJ2 League
Jun 14, 2015Mito Hollyhock 1-1 Cerezo OsakaJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka on Oct 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cerezo Osaka score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mito Hollyhock1.11.735/156/15
Cerezo Osaka1.51.7410/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mito Hollyhock sit 19th in J1 League (9 points from 14 matches) and Cerezo Osaka sit 11th (17 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Cerezo Osaka14455162517
19Mito Hollyhock1423912269

A question about Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?
The Footlab AI model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Mito Hollyhock.
Where and when is Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka played?
Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka is played on March 10, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at K’s Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Mito Hollyhock and Cerezo Osaka