Where and when is Chavdar Etropole vs Balkan Botevgrad played?

Chavdar Etropole vs Balkan Botevgrad is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chavdar, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chavdar Etropole vs Balkan Botevgrad: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chavdar, Etropole

Chavdar Etropole

Balkan Botevgrad

The Footlab model makes Chavdar Etropole the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Balkan Botevgrad. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chavdar Etropole vs Balkan Botevgrad?

Chavdar Etropole starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,599 vs 1,483).

Chavdar Etropole win59 %

Draw22 %

Balkan Botevgrad win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chavdar Etropole have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Balkan Botevgrad have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chavdar Etropole
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(home)	4-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Strumska Slava(away)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Oborishte(home)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Bansko(away)	0-3	Third League - Southwest
Feb 17, 2024	CSKA Sofia II(away)	0-3	Third League - Southwest

Balkan Botevgrad
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Botev Ihtiman(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Kyustendil(away)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(home)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Strumska Slava(away)	0-2	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Bansko(away)	2-0	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chavdar Etropole win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Balkan Botevgrad win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2023	Chavdar Etropole 2-0 Balkan Botevgrad	Third League - Southwest
Dec 1, 2022	Balkan Botevgrad 3-2 Chavdar Etropole	Third League - Southwest
Sep 10, 2022	Chavdar Etropole 3-1 Balkan Botevgrad	Third League - Southwest
Aug 10, 2022	Chavdar Etropole 3-1 Balkan Botevgrad	Cup
Apr 16, 2022	Balkan Botevgrad 0-0 Chavdar Etropole	Third League - Southwest
Oct 2, 2021	Chavdar Etropole 0-1 Balkan Botevgrad	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Chavdar Etropole vs Balkan Botevgrad on Aug 26, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Chavdar Etropole score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Balkan Botevgrad score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chavdar Etropole	2.2	1.1	6	7/15	10/15
Balkan Botevgrad	1.3	1.1	7	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chavdar Etropole sit 14th in Third League - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Balkan Botevgrad sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Balkan Botevgrad	4	2	0	2	3	4	6
14	Chavdar Etropole	4	1	1	2	6	8	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chavdar Etropole vs Balkan Botevgrad?: The Footlab model makes Chavdar Etropole the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Balkan Botevgrad.
Where and when is Chavdar Etropole vs Balkan Botevgrad played?: Chavdar Etropole vs Balkan Botevgrad is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chavdar, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.