Match

Belasitsa vs CSKA Sofia III: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Tsar Samuil, Petrich

BelasitsaCSKA Sofia III

The Footlab AI model makes Belasitsa the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for CSKA Sofia III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Belasitsa wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Belasitsa vs CSKA Sofia III?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Belasitsa (1,399) and CSKA Sofia III (1,450).

43%27%30%
Belasitsa winDrawCSKA Sofia III win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Belasitsa vs CSKA Sofia III

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Belasitsa

4-3-3
  1. 17I. Filchev
  2. 9K. Krastev
  3. 99D. Ivanov
  1. 26K. Valkov
  2. 18G. Karakashev
  3. 14I. Marchev
  1. 4D. Yovchev
  2. 5D. Yaramov
  3. 19V. Ergin
  4. 15A. Karachorov
  1. 1V. Ivanov

CSKA Sofia III

Not enough data to predict the CSKA Sofia III lineup.

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:33 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belasitsa have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; CSKA Sofia III have 6, 7 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Belasitsa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Septemvri Simitli(away)1-1Third League - Southwest
Oct 7, 2026Balkan Botevgrad(home)1-2Third League - Southwest
Oct 4, 2026Dobrudzha(home)1-2Cup
Sep 26, 2026Strumska Slava(away)1-2Third League - Southwest
Sep 19, 2026Kostinbrod(home)0-1Third League - Southwest
CSKA Sofia III
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Balkan Botevgrad(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Oct 3, 2026Kostinbrod(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
Sep 26, 2026Slivnishki geroy(away)1-1Third League - Southwest
Sep 12, 2026Levski Sofia II(away)0-0Third League - Southwest
Sep 5, 2026Slavia Sofia II(home)3-2Third League - Southwest

How many goals should we expect?

Belasitsa score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia III score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Belasitsa1.41.9111/1510/15
CSKA Sofia III1.20.777/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Belasitsa sit 14th in Third League - Southwest (11 points from 11 matches) and CSKA Sofia III sit 12th (12 points from 10 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12CSKA Sofia III102628812
14Belasitsa11326172111

A question about Belasitsa vs CSKA Sofia III?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Belasitsa vs CSKA Sofia III?
The Footlab AI model makes Belasitsa the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for CSKA Sofia III.
Where and when is Belasitsa vs CSKA Sofia III played?
Belasitsa vs CSKA Sofia III is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tsar Samuil, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Belasitsa and CSKA Sofia III

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