FK Minyor Pernik vs Septemvri Sofia II: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Minyor, Pernik
The Footlab model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Septemvri Sofia II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Minyor Pernik vs Septemvri Sofia II?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate FK Minyor Pernik (1,516) and Septemvri Sofia II (1,510).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Minyor Pernik have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Septemvri Sofia II have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bansko(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 23, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(home) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Belasitsa(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 FK Minyor Pernik win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Septemvri Sofia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | FK Minyor Pernik 1-0 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Septemvri Sofia II 1-4 FK Minyor Pernik | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: FK Minyor Pernik vs Septemvri Sofia II on Feb 24, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
FK Minyor Pernik score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Sofia II score 1.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Minyor Pernik | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Septemvri Sofia II | 1.8 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Minyor Pernik sit 4th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Septemvri Sofia II sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FK Minyor Pernik | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Septemvri Sofia II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Minyor Pernik vs Septemvri Sofia II?
- The Footlab model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Septemvri Sofia II.
- Where and when is FK Minyor Pernik vs Septemvri Sofia II played?
- FK Minyor Pernik vs Septemvri Sofia II is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Minyor, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026BanskovsLevski Sofia II
- Oct 17, 2026OborishtevsSlavia Sofia II
- Oct 17, 2026Strumska SlavavsBotev Ihtiman
- Oct 17, 2026BelasitsavsCSKA Sofia III
- Oct 17, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsBalkan Botevgrad
- Oct 17, 2026Pirin RazlogvsSlivnishki geroy
- Oct 17, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsKyustendil
- Oct 17, 2026Natsional SofiavsKostinbrod