FK Minyor Pernik vs Septemvri Sofia II: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Minyor, Pernik
The Footlab AI model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Septemvri Sofia II. The most likely score is 1-1. If FK Minyor Pernik wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Minyor Pernik vs Septemvri Sofia II?
On Elo ratings, FK Minyor Pernik has 1,546 points and Septemvri Sofia II 1,483.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FK Minyor Pernik vs Septemvri Sofia II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FK Minyor Pernik
4-3-3- 15D. Tarasenko
- 2B. Nikolov
- 7A. Aleksandrov
- 8V. Dotsev
- 16R. Viktorov
- 13Y. Yordanov
- 4M. Orachev
- 3P. Chilikov
- 39M. Orachev
- 22P. Vutsov
- 1I. Goshev
Septemvri Sofia II
Not enough data to predict the Septemvri Sofia II lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 08:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Minyor Pernik have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Septemvri Sofia II have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 5-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kyustendil(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kostinbrod(away) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 FK Minyor Pernik wins, 0 draws, 0 Septemvri Sofia II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | FK Minyor Pernik 1-0 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Septemvri Sofia II 1-4 FK Minyor Pernik | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: FK Minyor Pernik vs Septemvri Sofia II on Feb 24, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
FK Minyor Pernik score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Sofia II score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Minyor Pernik | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Septemvri Sofia II | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Minyor Pernik sit 1st in Third League - Southwest (26 points from 11 matches) and Septemvri Sofia II sit 5th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minyor Pernik | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 26 |
| 5 | Septemvri Sofia II | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 19 |
A question about FK Minyor Pernik vs Septemvri Sofia II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Minyor Pernik vs Septemvri Sofia II?
- The Footlab AI model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Septemvri Sofia II.
- Where and when is FK Minyor Pernik vs Septemvri Sofia II played?
- FK Minyor Pernik vs Septemvri Sofia II is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Minyor, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026BanskovsLevski Sofia II
- Oct 17, 2026Strumska SlavavsBotev Ihtiman
- Oct 17, 2026BelasitsavsCSKA Sofia III
- Oct 17, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsBalkan Botevgrad
- Oct 17, 2026Pirin RazlogvsSlivnishki geroy
- Oct 17, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsKyustendil
- Oct 17, 2026Natsional SofiavsKostinbrod
- Oct 18, 2026OborishtevsSlavia Sofia II