Oborishte vs Slavia Sofia II: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Orcho voyvoda, Panagyurishte
The Footlab model makes Oborishte the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Slavia Sofia II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oborishte vs Slavia Sofia II?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Oborishte (1,530) and Slavia Sofia II (1,481).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oborishte have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Slavia Sofia II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 4-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Germaneya(home) | 5-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kostinbrod(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Oborishte win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Slavia Sofia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II 1-1 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Oborishte 2-1 Slavia Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| May 31, 2025 | Oborishte 3-0 Slavia Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Slavia Sofia II 2-4 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Slavia Sofia II 5-1 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 16, 2023 | Oborishte 1-3 Slavia Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Slavia Sofia II vs Oborishte on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oborishte score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Slavia Sofia II score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oborishte | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Slavia Sofia II | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oborishte sit 3rd in Third League - Southwest (8 points from 4 matches) and Slavia Sofia II sit 16th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oborishte | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 8 |
| 16 | Slavia Sofia II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oborishte vs Slavia Sofia II?
- The Footlab model makes Oborishte the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Slavia Sofia II.
- Where and when is Oborishte vs Slavia Sofia II played?
- Oborishte vs Slavia Sofia II is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Orcho voyvoda, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026BanskovsLevski Sofia II
- Oct 17, 2026Strumska SlavavsBotev Ihtiman
- Oct 17, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsSeptemvri Sofia II
- Oct 17, 2026BelasitsavsCSKA Sofia III
- Oct 17, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsBalkan Botevgrad
- Oct 17, 2026Pirin RazlogvsSlivnishki geroy
- Oct 17, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsKyustendil
- Oct 17, 2026Natsional SofiavsKostinbrod