Match

Pirin Razlog vs Slivnishki geroy: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Septemvri, Razlog

Pirin RazlogSlivnishki geroy

The Footlab model makes Slivnishki geroy the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Pirin Razlog. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pirin Razlog vs Slivnishki geroy?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Pirin Razlog (1,366) and Slivnishki geroy (1,420).

Pirin Razlog win34 %
Draw26 %
Slivnishki geroy win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Razlog have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Slivnishki geroy have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pirin Razlog
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Oborishte(home)2-4Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Bansko(away)1-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026FK Minyor Pernik(home)0-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Belasitsa(home)1-3Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Strumska Slava(home)2-1Third League - Southwest
Slivnishki geroy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Levski Sofia II(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Slavia Sofia II(away)2-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Botev Ihtiman(home)2-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Kyustendil(away)1-2Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Slavia Sofia II(home)0-3Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Pirin Razlog win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Slivnishki geroy win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Pirin Razlog 1-3 Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest
Sep 17, 2025Slivnishki geroy 1-0 Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest
Mar 1, 2025Pirin Razlog 2-2 Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest
Aug 10, 2024Slivnishki geroy 3-1 Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest
Apr 6, 2024Slivnishki geroy 4-0 Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest
Sep 16, 2023Pirin Razlog 0-1 Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Pirin Razlog vs Slivnishki geroy on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pirin Razlog score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Slivnishki geroy score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pirin Razlog1.31.958/159/15
Slivnishki geroy1.51.258/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pirin Razlog sit 18th in Third League - Southwest (0 points from 4 matches) and Slivnishki geroy sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Slivnishki geroy4202666
18Pirin Razlog40044130

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pirin Razlog vs Slivnishki geroy?
The Footlab model makes Slivnishki geroy the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Pirin Razlog.
Where and when is Pirin Razlog vs Slivnishki geroy played?
Pirin Razlog vs Slivnishki geroy is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Septemvri, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Pirin Razlog and Slivnishki geroy

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