Pirin Razlog vs Slivnishki geroy: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Septemvri, Razlog
The Footlab model makes Slivnishki geroy the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Pirin Razlog. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pirin Razlog vs Slivnishki geroy?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Pirin Razlog (1,366) and Slivnishki geroy (1,420).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Razlog have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Slivnishki geroy have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oborishte(home) | 2-4 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bansko(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Strumska Slava(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(home) | 2-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kyustendil(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Pirin Razlog win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Slivnishki geroy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Pirin Razlog 1-3 Slivnishki geroy | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Slivnishki geroy 1-0 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Pirin Razlog 2-2 Slivnishki geroy | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Slivnishki geroy 3-1 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Slivnishki geroy 4-0 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Pirin Razlog 0-1 Slivnishki geroy | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Pirin Razlog vs Slivnishki geroy on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pirin Razlog score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Slivnishki geroy score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirin Razlog | 1.3 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Slivnishki geroy | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pirin Razlog sit 18th in Third League - Southwest (0 points from 4 matches) and Slivnishki geroy sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Slivnishki geroy | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pirin Razlog vs Slivnishki geroy?
- The Footlab model makes Slivnishki geroy the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Pirin Razlog.
- Where and when is Pirin Razlog vs Slivnishki geroy played?
- Pirin Razlog vs Slivnishki geroy is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Septemvri, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026BanskovsLevski Sofia II
- Oct 17, 2026OborishtevsSlavia Sofia II
- Oct 17, 2026Strumska SlavavsBotev Ihtiman
- Oct 17, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsSeptemvri Sofia II
- Oct 17, 2026BelasitsavsCSKA Sofia III
- Oct 17, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsBalkan Botevgrad
- Oct 17, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsKyustendil
- Oct 17, 2026Natsional SofiavsKostinbrod