Strumska Slava vs Botev Ihtiman: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Radomir
The Footlab model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Botev Ihtiman. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Strumska Slava vs Botev Ihtiman?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Strumska Slava (1,563) and Botev Ihtiman (1,469).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strumska Slava have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Botev Ihtiman have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kostinbrod(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 3-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Vitosha Bistritsa(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Strumska Slava win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Botev Ihtiman win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Strumska Slava 2-1 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Botev Ihtiman 1-2 Strumska Slava | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Strumska Slava vs Botev Ihtiman on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Strumska Slava score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Ihtiman score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strumska Slava | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Botev Ihtiman | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Strumska Slava sit 2nd in Third League - Southwest (10 points from 4 matches) and Botev Ihtiman sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Ihtiman | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Strumska Slava vs Botev Ihtiman?
- The Footlab model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Botev Ihtiman.
- Where and when is Strumska Slava vs Botev Ihtiman played?
- Strumska Slava vs Botev Ihtiman is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026BanskovsLevski Sofia II
- Oct 17, 2026OborishtevsSlavia Sofia II
- Oct 17, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsSeptemvri Sofia II
- Oct 17, 2026BelasitsavsCSKA Sofia III
- Oct 17, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsBalkan Botevgrad
- Oct 17, 2026Pirin RazlogvsSlivnishki geroy
- Oct 17, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsKyustendil
- Oct 17, 2026Natsional SofiavsKostinbrod