Where and when is Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato played?

Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Omar Higinio Sperdutti, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 28Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Omar Higinio Sperdutti, Maipú, Provincia de Mendoza

Deportivo Maipu

Patronato

The Footlab model makes Deportivo Maipu the favourite at 65%, against 24% for a draw and 12% for Patronato. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato?

A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Deportivo Maipu (1,800) and Patronato (1,713).

Deportivo Maipu win65 %

Draw24 %

Patronato win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Maipu have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Patronato have 2, 9 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportivo Maipu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Quilmes(home)	1-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	Godoy Cruz(away)	2-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 7, 2026	Midland(away)	0-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	Atlanta(home)	4-2	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Gimnasia Y Tiro(away)	0-1	Primera Nacional

Patronato
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Gimnasia Jujuy(home)	3-3	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	Colon Santa Fe(away)	0-3	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Colegiales(away)	2-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026	Quilmes(home)	3-3	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Midland(away)	0-1	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Deportivo Maipu win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Patronato win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Patronato 0-0 Deportivo Maipu	Primera Nacional
Jul 20, 2025	Patronato 1-0 Deportivo Maipu	Primera Nacional
Mar 16, 2025	Deportivo Maipu 1-1 Patronato	Primera Nacional
Aug 18, 2024	Deportivo Maipu 3-1 Patronato	Primera Nacional
Mar 31, 2024	Patronato 1-2 Deportivo Maipu	Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Patronato vs Deportivo Maipu on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportivo Maipu score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Patronato score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo Maipu	1.5	0.9	6	5/15	6/15
Patronato	1.1	1.3	2	9/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportivo Maipu sit 6th in Primera Nacional (38 points from 26 matches) and Patronato sit 17th (25 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Deportivo Maipu	26	11	5	10	34	27	38
17	Patronato	25	4	13	8	21	29	25

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato?: The Footlab model makes Deportivo Maipu the favourite at 65%, against 24% for a draw and 12% for Patronato.
Where and when is Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato played?: Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Omar Higinio Sperdutti, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.