Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, Colorado
The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Colorado Rapids. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Vancouver Whitecaps starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,957 vs 1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colorado Rapids have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Vancouver Whitecaps have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Diego(away) | 0-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sporting Kansas City(home) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Austin(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 26, 2026 | St. Louis City(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 5-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Colorado Rapids win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Vancouver Whitecaps win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps 3-1 Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Colorado Rapids 3-0 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| May 16, 2024 | Colorado Rapids 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 28, 2023 | Colorado Rapids 2-2 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Vancouver Whitecaps vs Colorado Rapids on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colorado Rapids score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vancouver Whitecaps score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids | 0.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colorado Rapids sit 7th in Major League Soccer (28 points from 21 matches) and Vancouver Whitecaps sit 1st (40 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 40 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
- The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Colorado Rapids.
- Where and when is Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps played?
- Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps is played on October 25, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Dick's Sporting Goods Park, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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