Sport Huancayo vs UTC Cajamarca: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo
The Footlab model makes Sport Huancayo the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for UTC Cajamarca. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sport Huancayo vs UTC Cajamarca?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Sport Huancayo (1,605) and UTC Cajamarca (1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sport Huancayo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; UTC Cajamarca have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UCV Moquegua(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Atletico Grau(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 1-1 | Copa De La Liga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alianza Lima(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ADT(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cusco(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sport Huancayo win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 UTC Cajamarca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca 2-2 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| Nov 9, 2025 | UTC Cajamarca 0-3 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| Jul 4, 2025 | Sport Huancayo 1-0 UTC Cajamarca | Primera División |
| Nov 2, 2024 | UTC Cajamarca 1-1 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| May 25, 2024 | Sport Huancayo 1-1 UTC Cajamarca | Primera División |
| Jun 30, 2023 | UTC Cajamarca 0-0 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Huancayo on Apr 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sport Huancayo score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; UTC Cajamarca score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Huancayo | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| UTC Cajamarca | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sport Huancayo sit 17th in Primera División (16 points from 17 matches) and UTC Cajamarca sit 13th (18 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 18 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 18 |
| 13 | Sport Huancayo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 40 | 23 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 16 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 38 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sport Huancayo vs UTC Cajamarca?
- The Footlab model makes Sport Huancayo the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for UTC Cajamarca.
- Where and when is Sport Huancayo vs UTC Cajamarca played?
- Sport Huancayo vs UTC Cajamarca is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Huancayo, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Sporting CristalvsAtletico Grau
- Sep 19, 2026Alianza LimavsADT
- Sep 19, 2026FBC MelgarvsSport Boys
- Sep 19, 2026Alianza AtleticovsComerciantes Unidos
- Sep 19, 2026CiencianovsClub Deportivo Los Chankas
- Sep 19, 2026Deportivo GarcilasovsUniversitario
- Sep 19, 2026Juan Pablo II CollegevsUCV Moquegua
- Sep 19, 2026FC CajamarcavsCusco