Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice
The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Cracovia Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Piast Gliwice (1,917) and Cracovia Krakow (1,949).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Piast Gliwice have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Cracovia Krakow have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 4-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(home) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Piast Gliwice win(s), 5 draw(s), 0 Cracovia Krakow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow 2-3 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Piast Gliwice 0-0 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Piast Gliwice 0-0 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Piast Gliwice 0-0 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 21, 2023 | Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Cracovia Krakow vs Piast Gliwice on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cracovia Krakow score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piast Gliwice | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Cracovia Krakow | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Piast Gliwice sit 14th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 5 matches) and Cracovia Krakow sit 3rd (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cracovia Krakow | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow?
- The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Cracovia Krakow.
- Where and when is Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow played?
- Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026JagielloniavsWisla Plock
- Oct 24, 2026Slask WroclawvsWieczysta Kraków
- Oct 24, 2026Wisla KrakowvsRaków Częstochowa
- Oct 24, 2026Legia WarszawavsLech Poznan
- Oct 24, 2026Korona KielcevsGKS Katowice
- Oct 24, 2026Pogon SzczecinvsRadomiak Radom
- Oct 24, 2026Widzew ŁódźvsGornik Zabrze
- Oct 24, 2026Motor LublinvsZaglebie Lubin