Where and when is CSKA Sofia III vs Chavdar Etropole played?

CSKA Sofia III vs Chavdar Etropole is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

CSKA Sofia III vs Chavdar Etropole: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

CSKA Sofia III

Chavdar Etropole

The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia III the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Chavdar Etropole. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CSKA Sofia III vs Chavdar Etropole?

Chavdar Etropole starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,599 vs 1,490).

CSKA Sofia III win53 %

Draw25 %

Chavdar Etropole win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Sofia III have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Chavdar Etropole have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CSKA Sofia III
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kyustendil(home)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(away)	0-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Strumska Slava(home)	0-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Oborishte(away)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	Kostinbrod(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest

Chavdar Etropole
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(home)	4-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Strumska Slava(away)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Oborishte(home)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Bansko(away)	0-3	Third League - Southwest
Feb 17, 2024	CSKA Sofia II(away)	0-3	Third League - Southwest

How many goals should we expect?

CSKA Sofia III score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chavdar Etropole score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
CSKA Sofia III	1.1	0.7	7	6/15	4/15
Chavdar Etropole	2.2	1.1	6	7/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

CSKA Sofia III sit 12th in Third League - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Chavdar Etropole sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	CSKA Sofia III	4	0	4	0	2	2	4
14	Chavdar Etropole	4	1	1	2	6	8	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CSKA Sofia III vs Chavdar Etropole?: The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia III the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Chavdar Etropole.
Where and when is CSKA Sofia III vs Chavdar Etropole played?: CSKA Sofia III vs Chavdar Etropole is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.