Where and when is Kyustendil vs Belasitsa played?

Kyustendil vs Belasitsa is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Osogovo, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kyustendil vs Belasitsa: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Osogovo, Kyustendil

Kyustendil

Belasitsa

The Footlab model makes Kyustendil the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Belasitsa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kyustendil vs Belasitsa?

A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Kyustendil (1,450) and Belasitsa (1,483).

Kyustendil win48 %

Draw25 %

Belasitsa win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyustendil have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Belasitsa have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kyustendil
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(away)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(home)	0-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Kostinbrod(away)	1-3	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Slivnishki geroy(home)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(away)	0-2	Third League - Southwest

Belasitsa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Septemvri Sofia II(home)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	FK Minyor Pernik(away)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Levski Sofia II(home)	4-5	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Pirin Razlog(away)	3-1	Third League - Southwest
Jul 24, 2026	Belasica(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Kyustendil win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Belasitsa win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 28, 2022	Kyustendil 2-0 Belasitsa	Third League - Southwest
Nov 20, 2021	Belasitsa 1-0 Kyustendil	Third League - Southwest
Mar 20, 2021	Kyustendil 1-1 Belasitsa	Third League - Southwest
Sep 5, 2020	Belasitsa 1-0 Kyustendil	Third League - Southwest
Nov 30, 2019	Kyustendil 4-0 Belasitsa	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Kyustendil vs Belasitsa on May 28, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Kyustendil score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Belasitsa score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kyustendil	0.7	1.6	4	8/15	7/15
Belasitsa	1.7	1.9	3	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kyustendil sit 15th in Third League - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Belasitsa sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Belasitsa	4	2	1	1	10	8	7
15	Kyustendil	4	1	1	2	4	6	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kyustendil vs Belasitsa?: The Footlab model makes Kyustendil the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Belasitsa.
Where and when is Kyustendil vs Belasitsa played?: Kyustendil vs Belasitsa is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Osogovo, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.