Kyustendil vs Belasitsa: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Osogovo, Kyustendil
The Footlab AI model makes Kyustendil the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Belasitsa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kyustendil wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kyustendil vs Belasitsa?
On Elo ratings, Kyustendil has 1,397 points and Belasitsa 1,399.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kyustendil vs Belasitsa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kyustendil
4-3-3- AAleksandar Krasimirov Aleksandrov
- SS. Blagoev
- PPlamen Plamenov Petrov
- DD. Mladenov
- TT. Stoichkov
- DD. Gogov
- DD. Iliev
- AA. Ademov
- GG. Kupenov
- BB. Stoynev
- II. Topalov
Belasitsa
4-3-3- 17I. Filchev
- 9K. Krastev
- 99D. Ivanov
- 26K. Valkov
- 18G. Karakashev
- 14I. Marchev
- 4D. Yovchev
- 5D. Yaramov
- 19V. Ergin
- 15A. Karachorov
- 1V. Ivanov
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyustendil have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Belasitsa have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Oborishte(away) | 2-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bansko(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Strumska Slava(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kostinbrod(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Kyustendil wins, 1 draw, 2 Belasitsa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2022 | Kyustendil 2-0 Belasitsa | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Belasitsa 1-0 Kyustendil | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Kyustendil 1-1 Belasitsa | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Belasitsa 1-0 Kyustendil | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 30, 2019 | Kyustendil 4-0 Belasitsa | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Kyustendil vs Belasitsa on May 28, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Kyustendil score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Belasitsa score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyustendil | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Belasitsa | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kyustendil sit 16th in Third League - Southwest (9 points from 10 matches) and Belasitsa sit 14th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Belasitsa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 11 |
| 16 | Kyustendil | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 9 |
A question about Kyustendil vs Belasitsa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kyustendil vs Belasitsa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kyustendil the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Belasitsa.
- Where and when is Kyustendil vs Belasitsa played?
- Kyustendil vs Belasitsa is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Osogovo, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsNatsional Sofia
- Oct 24, 2026Botev IhtimanvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Oct 24, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsFK Minyor Pernik
- Oct 24, 2026KostinbrodvsPirin Razlog
- Oct 24, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsBansko
- Oct 24, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsOborishte
- Oct 24, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsStrumska Slava
- Oct 24, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsChavdar Etropole