Where and when is Slivnishki geroy vs FK Minyor Pernik played?

Slivnishki geroy vs FK Minyor Pernik is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Slivnishki geroy vs FK Minyor Pernik: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Slivnitsa

Slivnishki geroy

FK Minyor Pernik

The Footlab model makes Slivnishki geroy the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for FK Minyor Pernik. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Slivnishki geroy vs FK Minyor Pernik?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Slivnishki geroy (1,421) and FK Minyor Pernik (1,517).

Slivnishki geroy win42 %

Draw26 %

FK Minyor Pernik win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slivnishki geroy have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; FK Minyor Pernik have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Slivnishki geroy
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Levski Sofia II(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Slavia Sofia II(away)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Botev Ihtiman(home)	2-3	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Kyustendil(away)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	Slavia Sofia II(home)	0-3	Third League - Southwest

FK Minyor Pernik
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bansko(home)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Belasitsa(home)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Pirin Razlog(away)	3-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Natsional Sofia(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
May 23, 2026	Dunav Ruse(home)	1-2	Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Slivnishki geroy win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 FK Minyor Pernik win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 17, 2024	Slivnishki geroy 4-2 FK Minyor Pernik	Third League - Southwest
Aug 5, 2023	FK Minyor Pernik 5-1 Slivnishki geroy	Third League - Southwest
Oct 12, 2019	Slivnishki geroy 0-0 FK Minyor Pernik	Third League - Southwest
May 11, 2019	FK Minyor Pernik 2-2 Slivnishki geroy	Third League - Southwest
Nov 3, 2018	Slivnishki geroy 4-0 FK Minyor Pernik	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Slivnishki geroy vs FK Minyor Pernik on Feb 17, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Slivnishki geroy score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; FK Minyor Pernik score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Slivnishki geroy	1.5	1.2	5	8/15	10/15
FK Minyor Pernik	1.3	1.5	4	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Slivnishki geroy sit 8th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and FK Minyor Pernik sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	FK Minyor Pernik	4	2	1	1	6	3	7
8	Slivnishki geroy	4	2	0	2	6	6	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Slivnishki geroy vs FK Minyor Pernik?: The Footlab model makes Slivnishki geroy the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for FK Minyor Pernik.
Where and when is Slivnishki geroy vs FK Minyor Pernik played?: Slivnishki geroy vs FK Minyor Pernik is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.