Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Kostinbrod
The Footlab AI model makes Kostinbrod the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Pirin Razlog. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog?
Kostinbrod starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,425 vs 1,320).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kostinbrod
Not enough data to predict the Kostinbrod lineup.
Pirin Razlog
Not enough data to predict the Pirin Razlog lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kostinbrod have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Pirin Razlog have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 5-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Belasitsa(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(away) | 0-5 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kyustendil(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kostinbrod wins, 1 draw, 1 Pirin Razlog win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Pirin Razlog 2-1 Kostinbrod | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Kostinbrod 2-0 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Kostinbrod 1-0 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Pirin Razlog 1-1 Kostinbrod | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Kostinbrod 2-1 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Pirin Razlog 0-1 Kostinbrod | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Pirin Razlog vs Kostinbrod on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kostinbrod score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Razlog score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kostinbrod | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Pirin Razlog | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kostinbrod sit 7th in Third League - Southwest (18 points from 11 matches) and Pirin Razlog sit 18th (7 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kostinbrod | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 10 | 18 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 7 |
A question about Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kostinbrod the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Pirin Razlog.
- Where and when is Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog played?
- Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsNatsional Sofia
- Oct 24, 2026Botev IhtimanvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Oct 24, 2026KyustendilvsBelasitsa
- Oct 24, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsFK Minyor Pernik
- Oct 24, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsBansko
- Oct 24, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsOborishte
- Oct 24, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsStrumska Slava
- Oct 24, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsChavdar Etropole