Match

Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Kostinbrod

KostinbrodPirin Razlog

The Footlab model makes Kostinbrod the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Pirin Razlog. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Kostinbrod (1,437) and Pirin Razlog (1,366).

Kostinbrod win63 %
Draw22 %
Pirin Razlog win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kostinbrod have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Pirin Razlog have 6, 0 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kostinbrod
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Slavia Sofia II(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Botev Ihtiman(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Kyustendil(home)3-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Septemvri Simitli(away)0-2Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026CSKA Sofia III(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Pirin Razlog
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Oborishte(home)2-4Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Bansko(away)1-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026FK Minyor Pernik(home)0-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Belasitsa(home)1-3Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Strumska Slava(home)2-1Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kostinbrod win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Pirin Razlog win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Pirin Razlog 2-1 KostinbrodThird League - Southwest
Aug 23, 2025Kostinbrod 2-0 Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest
Mar 9, 2024Kostinbrod 1-0 Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest
Aug 26, 2023Pirin Razlog 1-1 KostinbrodThird League - Southwest
Nov 12, 2022Kostinbrod 2-1 Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest
Aug 27, 2022Pirin Razlog 0-1 KostinbrodThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Pirin Razlog vs Kostinbrod on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kostinbrod score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Razlog score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kostinbrod0.91.345/156/15
Pirin Razlog1.31.958/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kostinbrod sit 10th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Pirin Razlog sit 18th (0 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Kostinbrod4202446
18Pirin Razlog40044130

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog?
The Footlab model makes Kostinbrod the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Pirin Razlog.
Where and when is Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog played?
Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Kostinbrod and Pirin Razlog

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