Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Kostinbrod
The Footlab model makes Kostinbrod the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Pirin Razlog. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Kostinbrod (1,437) and Pirin Razlog (1,366).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kostinbrod have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Pirin Razlog have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kyustendil(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oborishte(home) | 2-4 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bansko(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Strumska Slava(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kostinbrod win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Pirin Razlog win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Pirin Razlog 2-1 Kostinbrod | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Kostinbrod 2-0 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Kostinbrod 1-0 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Pirin Razlog 1-1 Kostinbrod | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Kostinbrod 2-1 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Pirin Razlog 0-1 Kostinbrod | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Pirin Razlog vs Kostinbrod on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kostinbrod score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Razlog score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kostinbrod | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Pirin Razlog | 1.3 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kostinbrod sit 10th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Pirin Razlog sit 18th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kostinbrod | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog?
- The Footlab model makes Kostinbrod the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Pirin Razlog.
- Where and when is Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog played?
- Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsNatsional Sofia
- Oct 24, 2026Botev IhtimanvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Oct 24, 2026KyustendilvsBelasitsa
- Oct 24, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsFK Minyor Pernik
- Oct 24, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsBansko
- Oct 24, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsOborishte
- Oct 24, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsStrumska Slava
- Oct 24, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsChavdar Etropole