Slavia Sofia II vs Strumska Slava: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Slavija pomoshten teren, Sofia
The Footlab model makes Slavia Sofia II the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Strumska Slava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slavia Sofia II vs Strumska Slava?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Slavia Sofia II (1,481) and Strumska Slava (1,563).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slavia Sofia II have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Strumska Slava have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kostinbrod(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Slavia Sofia II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Strumska Slava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II 1-0 Strumska Slava | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Strumska Slava 3-2 Slavia Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Slavia Sofia II vs Strumska Slava on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Slavia Sofia II score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Strumska Slava score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Sofia II | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Strumska Slava | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slavia Sofia II sit 16th in Third League - Southwest (3 points from 4 matches) and Strumska Slava sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 16 | Slavia Sofia II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slavia Sofia II vs Strumska Slava?
- The Footlab model makes Slavia Sofia II the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Strumska Slava.
- Where and when is Slavia Sofia II vs Strumska Slava played?
- Slavia Sofia II vs Strumska Slava is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Slavija pomoshten teren, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsNatsional Sofia
- Oct 24, 2026Botev IhtimanvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Oct 24, 2026KyustendilvsBelasitsa
- Oct 24, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsFK Minyor Pernik
- Oct 24, 2026KostinbrodvsPirin Razlog
- Oct 24, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsBansko
- Oct 24, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsOborishte
- Oct 24, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsChavdar Etropole