Match

Slavia Sofia II vs Strumska Slava: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Slavija pomoshten teren, Sofia

Slavia Sofia IIStrumska Slava

The Footlab model makes Slavia Sofia II the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Strumska Slava. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Slavia Sofia II vs Strumska Slava?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Slavia Sofia II (1,481) and Strumska Slava (1,563).

Slavia Sofia II win46 %
Draw26 %
Strumska Slava win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slavia Sofia II have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Strumska Slava have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Slavia Sofia II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kostinbrod(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Slivnishki geroy(home)1-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Septemvri Sofia II(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Levski Sofia II(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Slivnishki geroy(away)3-0Third League - Southwest
Strumska Slava
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Natsional Sofia(away)3-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Chavdar Etropole(home)2-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026CSKA Sofia III(away)0-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Balkan Botevgrad(home)2-0Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Pirin Razlog(away)1-2Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Slavia Sofia II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Strumska Slava win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2026Slavia Sofia II 1-0 Strumska SlavaThird League - Southwest
Sep 20, 2025Strumska Slava 3-2 Slavia Sofia IIThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Slavia Sofia II vs Strumska Slava on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Slavia Sofia II score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Strumska Slava score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Slavia Sofia II1.61.155/156/15
Strumska Slava1.61.149/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Slavia Sofia II sit 16th in Third League - Southwest (3 points from 4 matches) and Strumska Slava sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Strumska Slava43107110
16Slavia Sofia II4103243

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Slavia Sofia II vs Strumska Slava?
The Footlab model makes Slavia Sofia II the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Strumska Slava.
Where and when is Slavia Sofia II vs Strumska Slava played?
Slavia Sofia II vs Strumska Slava is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Slavija pomoshten teren, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Slavia Sofia II and Strumska Slava

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