Match

Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Ihtiman

Botev IhtimanSeptemvri Simitli

The Footlab AI model makes Botev Ihtiman the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Septemvri Simitli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Botev Ihtiman wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,748 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Botev Ihtiman (1,429) and Septemvri Simitli (1,415).

41%27%32%
Botev Ihtiman winDrawSeptemvri Simitli win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Botev Ihtiman

4-3-3
  1. AA. Kurdov
  2. VV. Kaptiev
  3. KK. Dimitrov
  1. VV. Baharov
  2. VV. Velev
  3. YY. Gavrilov
  1. BB. Angelov
  2. SS. Katrankov
  3. DD. Vezalov
  4. II. Velikov
  1. NN. Radev

Septemvri Simitli

4-3-3
  1. GG. Bozhilov
  2. NN. Chibout
  3. VV. Zlatinov
  1. HH. Mladenov
  2. FF. Angelov
  3. JJ. Da Sylva
  1. KK. Mihaylov
  2. DD. Mitev
  3. PP. Kepov
  4. SS. Kosov
  1. FF. Dimitrov

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:24 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botev Ihtiman have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Septemvri Simitli have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Botev Ihtiman
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 7, 2026Bansko(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Oct 4, 2026Spartak Plovdiv(away)0-1Cup
Sep 26, 2026FK Minyor Pernik(home)0-2Third League - Southwest
Sep 19, 2026Pirin Razlog(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Sep 12, 2026Natsional Sofia(home)3-2Third League - Southwest
Septemvri Simitli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Belasitsa(home)1-1Third League - Southwest
Oct 3, 2026Strumska Slava(away)2-1Third League - Southwest
Sep 26, 2026Oborishte(home)1-3Third League - Southwest
Sep 19, 2026Bansko(away)1-3Third League - Southwest
Sep 12, 2026FK Minyor Pernik(home)0-2Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Botev Ihtiman wins, 1 draw, 1 Septemvri Simitli win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Botev Ihtiman 1-0 Septemvri SimitliThird League - Southwest
Sep 5, 2025Septemvri Simitli 0-2 Botev IhtimanThird League - Southwest
May 31, 2025Botev Ihtiman 2-2 Septemvri SimitliThird League - Southwest
Nov 16, 2024Septemvri Simitli 1-2 Botev IhtimanThird League - Southwest
Mar 30, 2024Botev Ihtiman 4-1 Septemvri SimitliThird League - Southwest
Sep 9, 2023Septemvri Simitli 2-0 Botev IhtimanThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Botev Ihtiman score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Simitli score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Botev Ihtiman1.51.328/159/15
Septemvri Simitli1.61.359/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Botev Ihtiman sit 10th in Third League - Southwest (15 points from 10 matches) and Septemvri Simitli sit 11th (13 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Botev Ihtiman10505141315
11Septemvri Simitli11344151913

A question about Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli?
The Footlab AI model makes Botev Ihtiman the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Septemvri Simitli.
Where and when is Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli played?
Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Botev Ihtiman and Septemvri Simitli

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