Where and when is Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli played?

Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Ihtiman

Botev Ihtiman

Septemvri Simitli

The Footlab model makes Botev Ihtiman the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Septemvri Simitli. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Botev Ihtiman (1,469) and Septemvri Simitli (1,489).

Botev Ihtiman win46 %

Draw27 %

Septemvri Simitli win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botev Ihtiman have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Septemvri Simitli have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Botev Ihtiman
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(away)	0-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Kostinbrod(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Slivnishki geroy(away)	3-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 2, 2026	Septemvri Sofia II(home)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	Vitosha Bistritsa(home)	3-0	Third League - Southwest

Septemvri Simitli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chavdar Etropole(away)	2-4	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(home)	0-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(away)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Kostinbrod(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Kyustendil(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Botev Ihtiman win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Septemvri Simitli win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Botev Ihtiman 1-0 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Sep 5, 2025	Septemvri Simitli 0-2 Botev Ihtiman	Third League - Southwest
May 31, 2025	Botev Ihtiman 2-2 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Nov 16, 2024	Septemvri Simitli 1-2 Botev Ihtiman	Third League - Southwest
Mar 30, 2024	Botev Ihtiman 4-1 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Sep 9, 2023	Septemvri Simitli 2-0 Botev Ihtiman	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Botev Ihtiman score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Simitli score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Botev Ihtiman	1.3	1.3	3	8/15	8/15
Septemvri Simitli	1.4	0.9	7	5/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Botev Ihtiman sit 9th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Septemvri Simitli sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Septemvri Simitli	4	2	1	1	6	5	7
9	Botev Ihtiman	4	2	0	2	5	5	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli?: The Footlab model makes Botev Ihtiman the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Septemvri Simitli.
Where and when is Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli played?: Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.