Balkan Botevgrad vs Natsional Sofia: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Hristo Botev Izkustven Teren, Botevgrad
The Footlab AI model makes Balkan Botevgrad the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Natsional Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Balkan Botevgrad wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Balkan Botevgrad vs Natsional Sofia?
On Elo ratings, Balkan Botevgrad has 1,453 points and Natsional Sofia 1,396.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Balkan Botevgrad vs Natsional Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Balkan Botevgrad
4-3-3- NN. Mikov
- KK. Bonev
- DD. Ganchev
- EE. Kolev
- PPavel Georgiev Petkov
- AAleksandar Asenov
- ZZ. Atanasov
- DD. Yordanov
- DD. Ruychev
- LL. Karanikolov
- VV. Valchev
Natsional Sofia
Not enough data to predict the Natsional Sofia lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balkan Botevgrad have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Natsional Sofia have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Belasitsa(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fratria(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kostinbrod(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(home) | 2-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Balkan Botevgrad win, 0 draws, 0 Natsional Sofia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2023 | Natsional Sofia 1-3 Balkan Botevgrad | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Natsional Sofia vs Balkan Botevgrad on Sep 6, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Balkan Botevgrad score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Natsional Sofia score 2.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balkan Botevgrad | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Natsional Sofia | 2.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Balkan Botevgrad sit 6th in Third League - Southwest (19 points from 11 matches) and Natsional Sofia sit 17th (7 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Balkan Botevgrad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 19 |
| 17 | Natsional Sofia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 7 |
A question about Balkan Botevgrad vs Natsional Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Balkan Botevgrad vs Natsional Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Balkan Botevgrad the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Natsional Sofia.
- Where and when is Balkan Botevgrad vs Natsional Sofia played?
- Balkan Botevgrad vs Natsional Sofia is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Hristo Botev Izkustven Teren, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Botev IhtimanvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Oct 24, 2026KyustendilvsBelasitsa
- Oct 24, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsFK Minyor Pernik
- Oct 24, 2026KostinbrodvsPirin Razlog
- Oct 24, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsBansko
- Oct 24, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsOborishte
- Oct 24, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsStrumska Slava
- Oct 24, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsChavdar Etropole