Septemvri Sofia II vs Bansko: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion German, German
The Footlab model makes Septemvri Sofia II the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Bansko. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia II vs Bansko?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Septemvri Sofia II (1,510) and Bansko (1,491).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Sofia II have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Bansko have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Belasitsa(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 2-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Septemvri Sofia II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Bansko win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Bansko 1-1 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Septemvri Sofia II 3-2 Bansko | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Bansko 4-1 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Septemvri Sofia II 0-1 Bansko | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Septemvri Sofia II 3-1 Bansko | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Bansko 3-0 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Bansko vs Septemvri Sofia II on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Septemvri Sofia II score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bansko score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Sofia II | 1.8 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Bansko | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Septemvri Sofia II sit 7th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Bansko sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bansko | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Septemvri Sofia II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Septemvri Sofia II vs Bansko?
- The Footlab model makes Septemvri Sofia II the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Bansko.
- Where and when is Septemvri Sofia II vs Bansko played?
- Septemvri Sofia II vs Bansko is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion German, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsNatsional Sofia
- Oct 24, 2026Botev IhtimanvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Oct 24, 2026KyustendilvsBelasitsa
- Oct 24, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsFK Minyor Pernik
- Oct 24, 2026KostinbrodvsPirin Razlog
- Oct 24, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsOborishte
- Oct 24, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsStrumska Slava
- Oct 24, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsChavdar Etropole