Match

Cumbernauld Colts vs St. Mirren U21: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Broadwood Stadium, Cumbernauld

Cumbernauld ColtsSt. Mirren U21

The Footlab model makes Cumbernauld Colts the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for St. Mirren U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cumbernauld Colts vs St. Mirren U21?

Cumbernauld Colts starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,545 vs 1,441).

Cumbernauld Colts win64 %
Draw19 %
St. Mirren U21 win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cumbernauld Colts have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; St. Mirren U21 have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cumbernauld Colts
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dalbeattie Star(home)2-2Football League - Lowland League
Aug 15, 2026Gretna 2008(away)3-3Football League - Lowland League
Aug 11, 2026Queen of the South(away)0-4Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Auchinleck Talbot(away)0-1Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Renfrew(home)2-2Football League - Lowland League
St. Mirren U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 11, 2026Clyde(away)4-1Challenge Cup
Nov 11, 2025Stranraer(away)0-2Challenge Cup
Oct 11, 2025Kelty Hearts(away)1-2Challenge Cup
Sep 24, 2025Hamilton Academical(away)1-3Challenge Cup
Sep 6, 2025Annan Athletic(away)2-2Challenge Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Cumbernauld Colts score 2.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; St. Mirren U21 score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cumbernauld Colts2.22.1111/1513/15
St. Mirren U211.52.1310/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cumbernauld Colts vs St. Mirren U21?
The Footlab model makes Cumbernauld Colts the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for St. Mirren U21.
Where and when is Cumbernauld Colts vs St. Mirren U21 played?
Cumbernauld Colts vs St. Mirren U21 is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Broadwood Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cumbernauld Colts and St. Mirren U21

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