Match

Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 11Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira

Deportivo CaliCucuta

The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Cucuta. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta?

Deportivo Cali starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,637).

Deportivo Cali win58 %
Draw26 %
Cucuta win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Cali have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Cucuta have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportivo Cali
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Internacional de Bogota(home)2-2Primera A
Aug 9, 2026Deportivo Pasto(away)2-0Primera A
Aug 1, 2026Independiente Medellin(away)0-1Primera A
Jul 25, 2026Jaguares(home)2-0Primera A
May 24, 2026Real Santander(away)2-1Copa Colombia
Cucuta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Independiente Medellin(away)1-0Primera A
Aug 19, 2026Internacional de Bogota(home)1-1Primera A
Aug 8, 2026Fortaleza FC(away)0-2Primera A
Aug 4, 2026Bucaramanga(away)1-1Primera A
Jul 27, 2026Once Caldas(away)1-5Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Deportivo Cali win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Cucuta win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Cucuta 0-2 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
Sep 23, 2020Cucuta 3-3 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
Sep 22, 2019Cucuta 1-4 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
Mar 31, 2019Deportivo Cali 2-0 CucutaPrimera A

Last archived meeting: Cucuta vs Deportivo Cali on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportivo Cali score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cucuta score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Deportivo Cali1.50.766/154/15
Cucuta0.71.366/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportivo Cali sit 9th in Primera A (27 points from 19 matches) and Cucuta sit 19th (16 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Deportivo Cali4211637
9Deportivo Cali19766201627
9Deportivo Cali19766201627
14Cucuta5122495
19Cucuta19379223516
19Cucuta19379223516

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta?
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Cucuta.
Where and when is Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta played?
Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Deportivo Cali, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Deportivo Cali and Cucuta

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