Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 11Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Cucuta. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta?
Deportivo Cali starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Cali have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Cucuta have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jaguares(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| May 24, 2026 | Real Santander(away) | 2-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fortaleza FC(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bucaramanga(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Once Caldas(away) | 1-5 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Deportivo Cali win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Cucuta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Cucuta 0-2 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| Sep 23, 2020 | Cucuta 3-3 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Cucuta 1-4 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| Mar 31, 2019 | Deportivo Cali 2-0 Cucuta | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Cucuta vs Deportivo Cali on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Cali score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cucuta score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cali | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Cucuta | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Cali sit 9th in Primera A (27 points from 19 matches) and Cucuta sit 19th (16 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Deportivo Cali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 27 |
| 14 | Cucuta | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 16 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Cucuta.
- Where and when is Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta played?
- Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Deportivo Cali, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 20, 2026MillonariosvsChico
- Sep 20, 2026Deportivo PastovsOnce Caldas
- Sep 20, 2026Independiente MedellinvsJaguares
- Sep 20, 2026BucaramangavsInternacional de Bogota
- Sep 20, 2026Alianza ValleduparvsSanta Fe
- Sep 20, 2026Deportes TolimavsAmerica de Cali
- Sep 20, 2026Águilas DoradasvsDeportivo Pereira
- Sep 20, 2026Fortaleza FCvsJunior