Match

Cucuta vs Llaneros: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 12Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio General Santander, Cúcuta

CucutaLlaneros

The Footlab model makes Cucuta the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Llaneros. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cucuta vs Llaneros?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Cucuta (1,637) and Llaneros (1,720).

Cucuta win48 %
Draw28 %
Llaneros win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cucuta have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Llaneros have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cucuta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Independiente Medellin(away)1-0Primera A
Aug 19, 2026Internacional de Bogota(home)1-1Primera A
Aug 8, 2026Fortaleza FC(away)0-2Primera A
Aug 4, 2026Bucaramanga(away)1-1Primera A
Jul 27, 2026Once Caldas(away)1-5Primera A
Llaneros
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Deportivo Pasto(away)1-0Primera A
Aug 19, 2026Águilas Doradas(away)1-1Primera A
Aug 4, 2026Fortaleza FC(home)3-1Primera A
Jul 31, 2026Bucaramanga(away)1-1Primera A
Jul 24, 2026Deportivo Pereira(home)1-0Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Cucuta win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Llaneros win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 17, 2026Llaneros 2-2 CucutaPrimera A
Sep 11, 2024Cucuta 0-1 LlanerosPrimera B
May 31, 2024Cucuta 1-3 LlanerosPrimera B
May 26, 2024Llaneros 2-1 CucutaPrimera B
Apr 4, 2024Llaneros 0-0 CucutaPrimera B
Nov 11, 2023Llaneros 1-0 CucutaPrimera B

Last archived meeting: Llaneros vs Cucuta on Mar 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cucuta score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Llaneros score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cucuta0.71.366/153/15
Llaneros1.10.866/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cucuta sit 19th in Primera A (16 points from 19 matches) and Llaneros sit 14th (22 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Llaneros53207311
14Llaneros194105172022
14Llaneros194105172022
14Cucuta5122495
19Cucuta19379223516
19Cucuta19379223516

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cucuta vs Llaneros?
The Footlab model makes Cucuta the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Llaneros.
Where and when is Cucuta vs Llaneros played?
Cucuta vs Llaneros is played on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio General Santander, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Cucuta and Llaneros

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