Cucuta vs Llaneros: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 12Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio General Santander, Cúcuta
The Footlab model makes Cucuta the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Llaneros. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cucuta vs Llaneros?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Cucuta (1,637) and Llaneros (1,720).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cucuta have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Llaneros have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fortaleza FC(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bucaramanga(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Once Caldas(away) | 1-5 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Fortaleza FC(home) | 3-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bucaramanga(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Cucuta win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Llaneros win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Llaneros 2-2 Cucuta | Primera A |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Cucuta 0-1 Llaneros | Primera B |
| May 31, 2024 | Cucuta 1-3 Llaneros | Primera B |
| May 26, 2024 | Llaneros 2-1 Cucuta | Primera B |
| Apr 4, 2024 | Llaneros 0-0 Cucuta | Primera B |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Llaneros 1-0 Cucuta | Primera B |
How many goals should we expect?
Cucuta score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Llaneros score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cucuta | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Llaneros | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cucuta sit 19th in Primera A (16 points from 19 matches) and Llaneros sit 14th (22 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 22 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 22 |
| 14 | Cucuta | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 16 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cucuta vs Llaneros?
- The Footlab model makes Cucuta the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Llaneros.
- Where and when is Cucuta vs Llaneros played?
- Cucuta vs Llaneros is played on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio General Santander, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 27, 2026ChicovsDeportivo Pasto
- Sep 27, 2026JaguaresvsAlianza Valledupar
- Sep 27, 2026JuniorvsIndependiente Medellin
- Sep 27, 2026Once CaldasvsBucaramanga
- Sep 27, 2026Atletico NacionalvsMillonarios
- Sep 27, 2026America de CalivsÁguilas Doradas
- Sep 27, 2026Santa FevsDeportivo Cali
- Sep 27, 2026Fortaleza FCvsDeportes Tolima