Millonarios vs Chico: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 11Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, Bogotá, D.C.
The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 11% for Chico. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Millonarios vs Chico?
Millonarios starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,582).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millonarios have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Chico have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Junior(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bucaramanga(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Colo Colo(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Jaguares(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Santa Fe(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | America de Cali(away) | 0-7 | Primera A |
| May 27, 2026 | Llaneros(home) | 0-1 | Copa Colombia |
| May 23, 2026 | Millonarios(away) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Millonarios win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Chico win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Millonarios 2-2 Chico | Copa Colombia |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Chico 2-1 Millonarios | Primera A |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Chico 1-2 Millonarios | Primera A |
| May 25, 2025 | Millonarios 4-2 Chico | Primera A |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Chico 1-5 Millonarios | Primera A |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Millonarios 3-0 Chico | Primera A |
How many goals should we expect?
Millonarios score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Chico score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millonarios | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Chico | 0.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 2/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millonarios sit 10th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Chico sit 18th (17 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Millonarios | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 26 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 26 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 17 |
| 20 | Chico | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Millonarios vs Chico?
- The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 11% for Chico.
- Where and when is Millonarios vs Chico played?
- Millonarios vs Chico is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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