Match

Fortaleza FC vs Junior: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 11Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Cota, Cota

Fortaleza FCJunior

The Footlab model makes Fortaleza FC the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Junior. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortaleza FC vs Junior?

Junior starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,682).

Fortaleza FC win38 %
Draw29 %
Junior win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortaleza FC have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Junior have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortaleza FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Atletico Nacional(home)1-2Primera A
Aug 8, 2026Cucuta(home)2-0Primera A
Aug 4, 2026Llaneros(away)1-3Primera A
Aug 1, 2026Deportivo Pereira(home)0-0Primera A
Jul 26, 2026Alianza Valledupar(away)1-1Primera A
Junior
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Once Caldas(home)1-1Primera A
Aug 2, 2026Millonarios(home)0-1Primera A
Jul 29, 2026Barranquilla(away)3-3Copa Colombia
Jul 26, 2026Deportes Tolima(away)1-2Primera A
Jul 23, 2026Barranquilla(home)2-2Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fortaleza FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Junior win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 16, 2026Junior 2-1 Fortaleza FCPrimera A
Nov 8, 2025Fortaleza FC 1-1 JuniorPrimera A
May 16, 2025Junior 2-1 Fortaleza FCPrimera A
Aug 17, 2024Junior 2-1 Fortaleza FCPrimera A
Feb 11, 2024Fortaleza FC 2-0 JuniorPrimera A
Sep 11, 2016Junior 1-2 Fortaleza FCPrimera A

Last archived meeting: Junior vs Fortaleza FC on Mar 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fortaleza FC score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Junior score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fortaleza FC1.21.149/156/15
Junior1.51.539/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortaleza FC sit 15th in Primera A (22 points from 19 matches) and Junior sit 2nd (35 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Junior191126312435
2Junior251357382844
13Fortaleza FC5122565
15Fortaleza FC19577222722
15Fortaleza FC19577222722
18Junior3012241

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortaleza FC vs Junior?
The Footlab model makes Fortaleza FC the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Junior.
Where and when is Fortaleza FC vs Junior played?
Fortaleza FC vs Junior is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Cota, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Fortaleza FC and Junior

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