Fortaleza FC vs Junior: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 11Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Cota, Cota
The Footlab model makes Fortaleza FC the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Junior. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortaleza FC vs Junior?
Junior starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,682).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortaleza FC have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Junior have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cucuta(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Llaneros(away) | 1-3 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira(home) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Alianza Valledupar(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Once Caldas(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Millonarios(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Barranquilla(away) | 3-3 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Barranquilla(home) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fortaleza FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Junior win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | Junior 2-1 Fortaleza FC | Primera A |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Fortaleza FC 1-1 Junior | Primera A |
| May 16, 2025 | Junior 2-1 Fortaleza FC | Primera A |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Junior 2-1 Fortaleza FC | Primera A |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Fortaleza FC 2-0 Junior | Primera A |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Junior 1-2 Fortaleza FC | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Junior vs Fortaleza FC on Mar 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortaleza FC score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Junior score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza FC | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Junior | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortaleza FC sit 15th in Primera A (22 points from 19 matches) and Junior sit 2nd (35 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 35 |
| 2 | Junior | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 44 |
| 13 | Fortaleza FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | 22 |
| 18 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortaleza FC vs Junior?
- The Footlab model makes Fortaleza FC the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Junior.
- Where and when is Fortaleza FC vs Junior played?
- Fortaleza FC vs Junior is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Cota, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 20, 2026MillonariosvsChico
- Sep 20, 2026Deportivo PastovsOnce Caldas
- Sep 20, 2026Deportivo CalivsCucuta
- Sep 20, 2026Independiente MedellinvsJaguares
- Sep 20, 2026BucaramangavsInternacional de Bogota
- Sep 20, 2026Alianza ValleduparvsSanta Fe
- Sep 20, 2026Deportes TolimavsAmerica de Cali
- Sep 20, 2026Águilas DoradasvsDeportivo Pereira