Match

East Kilbride vs Celtic II: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)K Park Training Academy, East Kilbride

East KilbrideCeltic II

The Footlab model makes East Kilbride the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Celtic II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win East Kilbride vs Celtic II?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate East Kilbride (1,718) and Celtic II (1,658).

East Kilbride win61 %
Draw19 %
Celtic II win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, East Kilbride have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Celtic II have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

East Kilbride
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Montrose(away)0-3League One
Aug 15, 2026Cove Rangers(home)3-0League One
Aug 11, 2026Kilmarnock II(home)5-3Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Airdrie United(away)1-1League One
Aug 1, 2026Queen of the South(home)5-1League One
Celtic II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Cumnock Juniors(home)4-1Football League - Lowland League
Aug 15, 2026Dalbeattie Star(away)5-1Football League - Lowland League
Aug 12, 2026Hamilton Academical(away)3-1Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Renfrew(away)5-3Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026 Johnstone Burgh(home)1-1Football League - Lowland League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 East Kilbride win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Celtic II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 11, 2025East Kilbride 2-0 Celtic IIChallenge Cup
Mar 1, 2025East Kilbride 1-5 Celtic IIFootball League - Lowland League
Dec 7, 2024Celtic II 0-2 East KilbrideFootball League - Lowland League
Jul 30, 2024East Kilbride 3-0 Celtic IIChallenge Cup
Dec 16, 2023Celtic II 0-2 East KilbrideFootball League - Lowland League
Aug 22, 2023East Kilbride 2-1 Celtic IIFootball League - Lowland League

Last archived meeting: East Kilbride vs Celtic II on Nov 11, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

East Kilbride score 2.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Celtic II score 2.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
East Kilbride2.91.367/1512/15
Celtic II2.92.1114/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for East Kilbride vs Celtic II?
The Footlab model makes East Kilbride the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Celtic II.
Where and when is East Kilbride vs Celtic II played?
East Kilbride vs Celtic II is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at K Park Training Academy, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: East Kilbride and Celtic II

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