East Kilbride vs Celtic II: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)K Park Training Academy, East Kilbride
The Footlab model makes East Kilbride the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Celtic II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win East Kilbride vs Celtic II?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate East Kilbride (1,718) and Celtic II (1,658).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, East Kilbride have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Celtic II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cove Rangers(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 5-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Airdrie United(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Queen of the South(home) | 5-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cumnock Juniors(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dalbeattie Star(away) | 5-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 3-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Renfrew(away) | 5-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 East Kilbride win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Celtic II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | East Kilbride 2-0 Celtic II | Challenge Cup |
| Mar 1, 2025 | East Kilbride 1-5 Celtic II | Football League - Lowland League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Celtic II 0-2 East Kilbride | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 30, 2024 | East Kilbride 3-0 Celtic II | Challenge Cup |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Celtic II 0-2 East Kilbride | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 22, 2023 | East Kilbride 2-1 Celtic II | Football League - Lowland League |
Last archived meeting: East Kilbride vs Celtic II on Nov 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
East Kilbride score 2.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Celtic II score 2.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Kilbride | 2.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Celtic II | 2.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for East Kilbride vs Celtic II?
- The Footlab model makes East Kilbride the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Celtic II.
- Where and when is East Kilbride vs Celtic II played?
- East Kilbride vs Celtic II is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at K Park Training Academy, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 22, 2026Queen of the SouthvsAnnan Athletic
- Sep 22, 2026Alloa AthleticvsHibernian U21
- Sep 22, 2026Forfar AthleticvsPeterhead
- Sep 22, 2026Stirling AlbionvsCumbernauld Colts
- Sep 22, 2026Banks O' DeevsAberdeen U21
- Sep 22, 2026Berwick RangersvsStranraer
- Sep 22, 2026ClydevsRangers U21
- Sep 22, 2026DumbartonvsKilmarnock II