Everton vs Brentford: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, Merseyside
The Footlab model makes Brentford the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Everton. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Everton vs Brentford?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Everton (2,110) and Brentford (2,182).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Everton have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Brentford have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lille(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hamburger SV(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Everton win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Brentford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Brentford 2-2 Everton | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Everton 2-4 Brentford | Premier League |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Brentford 1-1 Everton | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Everton 0-0 Brentford | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Everton 1-0 Brentford | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Brentford 1-3 Everton | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Everton score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Brentford score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Brentford | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Everton sit 4th in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Brentford sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brentford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Everton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Everton vs Brentford?
- The Footlab model makes Brentford the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Everton.
- Where and when is Everton vs Brentford played?
- Everton vs Brentford is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hill Dickinson Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.