Everton vs Brentford: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, Merseyside
The Footlab AI model makes Everton the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Brentford. The most likely score is 1-1. If Everton wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Everton vs Brentford?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Everton (2,160) and Brentford (2,241).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Everton vs Brentford
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Everton
4-2-3-1- 11T. Barry
- 8K. Dewsbury-Hall
- 37J. Garner
- 45H. Armstrong
- 22B. Johnson
- 10J. Grealish
- 6J. Tarkowski
- 4J. Branthwaite
- 2A. Maitland-Niles
- 5M. Keane
- 1J. Pickford
Brentford
4-2-3-1- 9Thiago
- 23K. Lewis-Potter
- 27V. Janelt
- 7K. Schade
- 19J. Anthony
- 6Y. Yarmolyuk
- 20K. Ajer
- 33M. Kayode
- 44Jannik Schuster
- 25E. Diouf
- 1C. Kelleher
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Everton have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Brentford have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Reading(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Everton wins, 3 draws, 1 Brentford win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Brentford 2-2 Everton | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Everton 2-4 Brentford | Premier League |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Brentford 1-1 Everton | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Everton 0-0 Brentford | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Everton 1-0 Brentford | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Brentford 1-3 Everton | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Everton score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Brentford score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 1.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Brentford | 2.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Everton sit 5th in Premier League (10 points from 6 matches) and Brentford sit 4th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
A question about Everton vs Brentford?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Everton vs Brentford?
- The Footlab AI model makes Everton the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Brentford.
- Where and when is Everton vs Brentford played?
- Everton vs Brentford is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hill Dickinson Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.