Ipswich vs Hull City: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Portman Road, Ipswich, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Ipswich the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Hull City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ipswich vs Hull City?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Ipswich (2,019) and Hull City (1,939).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ipswich have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Hull City have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union Berlin(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Le Havre(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nice(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ipswich win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hull City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | Ipswich 1-0 Hull City | Championship |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Hull City 0-2 Ipswich | Championship |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Hull City 3-3 Ipswich | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Ipswich 3-0 Hull City | Championship |
| Feb 23, 2021 | Hull City 0-1 Ipswich | League One |
| Nov 24, 2020 | Ipswich 0-3 Hull City | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Ipswich score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hull City score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Hull City | 1.2 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ipswich sit 7th in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Hull City sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hull City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Ipswich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ipswich vs Hull City?
- The Footlab model makes Ipswich the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Hull City.
- Where and when is Ipswich vs Hull City played?
- Ipswich vs Hull City is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Portman Road, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.