Fulham vs Aston Villa: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Craven Cottage, London
The Footlab AI model makes Fulham the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Aston Villa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fulham wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fulham vs Aston Villa?
On Elo ratings, Fulham has 2,131 points and Aston Villa 2,252.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fulham vs Aston Villa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fulham
4-2-3-1- 7Gonzalo García
- 14Oscar Bobb
- 17A. Iwobi
- 24Joshua King
- 19S. Charles
- 16S. Berge
- 3C. Bassey
- 22D. Affengruber
- 21T. Castagne
- 33A. Robinson
- 1B. Leno
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1- 11N. Jackson
- 8B. Kamara
- 7J. McGinn
- 10E. Buendía
- 44J. Manzambi
- 35João Gomes
- 3V. Lindelöf
- 5T. Mings
- 2M. Cash
- 13M. Ruggeri
- 1Z. Suzuki
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fulham have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Aston Villa have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(home) | 6-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 3-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fulham win, 0 draws, 5 Aston Villa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Fulham 1-0 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Aston Villa 3-1 Fulham | Premier League |
| May 3, 2025 | Aston Villa 1-0 Fulham | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Fulham 1-3 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Fulham 1-2 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Aston Villa 3-1 Fulham | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Fulham vs Aston Villa on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fulham score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Aston Villa | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fulham sit 20th in Premier League (2 points from 6 matches) and Aston Villa sit 16th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 5 |
| 20 | Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 2 |
A question about Fulham vs Aston Villa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fulham vs Aston Villa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fulham the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Aston Villa.
- Where and when is Fulham vs Aston Villa played?
- Fulham vs Aston Villa is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Craven Cottage, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.