Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Nottingham Forest the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Bournemouth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Nottingham Forest (2,144) and Bournemouth (2,194).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nottingham Forest have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Bournemouth have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Genoa(home) | 10-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC Augsburg(away) | 5-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nottingham Forest win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Bournemouth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Nottingham Forest 1-1 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Bournemouth 2-0 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Bournemouth 5-0 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Nottingham Forest 1-1 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Bournemouth 1-1 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Nottingham Forest 2-3 Bournemouth | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nottingham Forest score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bournemouth score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Bournemouth | 2.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nottingham Forest sit 15th in Premier League (0 points from 1 matches) and Bournemouth sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bournemouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth?
- The Footlab model makes Nottingham Forest the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Bournemouth.
- Where and when is Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth played?
- Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The City Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.