Where and when is Extremadura 1924 vs Mérida AD played?

Extremadura 1924 vs Mérida AD is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Extremadura 1924 vs Mérida AD: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 30Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)

Extremadura 1924

Mérida AD

The Footlab model makes Extremadura 1924 the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Mérida AD. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Extremadura 1924 vs Mérida AD?

Extremadura 1924 starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,994 vs 1,871).

Extremadura 1924 win55 %

Draw26 %

Mérida AD win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Extremadura 1924 have 9 wins, 6 draws and 0 defeats; Mérida AD have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Extremadura 1924
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	CD Coria(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Linares Deportivo(away)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	La Unión Atlético(home)	4-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026	Xerez(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Recreativo Huelva(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Mérida AD
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Alcorcon(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 7, 2026	Leganes(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026	Al-Nassr(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Benfica B(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Osasuna II(away)	2-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Extremadura 1924 score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mérida AD score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Extremadura 1924	1.7	0.8	7	8/15	8/15
Mérida AD	0.9	1.9	1	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Mérida AD	38	14	10	14	47	53	52

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Extremadura 1924 vs Mérida AD?: The Footlab model makes Extremadura 1924 the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Mérida AD.
Where and when is Extremadura 1924 vs Mérida AD played?: Extremadura 1924 vs Mérida AD is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.