Where and when is Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United Chiba played?

Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United Chiba is played on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at City Light Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United Chiba: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)City Light Stadium, Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

JEF United Chiba

The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United Chiba?

Fagiano Okayama starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,938 vs 1,815).

Fagiano Okayama win55 %

Draw25 %

JEF United Chiba win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fagiano Okayama have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; JEF United Chiba have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fagiano Okayama
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Beluga Rosso Iwami(home)	3-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(home)	0-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	FC Schalke 04(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

JEF United Chiba
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Azul Claro Numazu(home)	1-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	0-2	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Machida Zelvia(home)	0-4	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fagiano Okayama win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 JEF United Chiba win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 10, 2024	Fagiano Okayama 0-0 JEF United Chiba	J2 League
Jun 1, 2024	JEF United Chiba 2-1 Fagiano Okayama	J2 League
Oct 1, 2023	Fagiano Okayama 0-5 JEF United Chiba	J2 League
Mar 25, 2023	JEF United Chiba 1-1 Fagiano Okayama	J2 League
Jul 30, 2022	Fagiano Okayama 1-1 JEF United Chiba	J2 League
May 8, 2022	JEF United Chiba 1-0 Fagiano Okayama	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United Chiba on Aug 10, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Fagiano Okayama score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fagiano Okayama	1.4	1.0	7	7/15	7/15
JEF United Chiba	0.8	2.0	2	6/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fagiano Okayama sit 9th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and JEF United Chiba sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Fagiano Okayama	3	1	1	1	2	2	4
20	JEF United Chiba	3	0	0	3	0	9	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United Chiba?: The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for JEF United Chiba.
Where and when is Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United Chiba played?: Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United Chiba is played on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at City Light Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.