Vissel Kobe vs Tokyo Verdy: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, Kobe
The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vissel Kobe vs Tokyo Verdy?
Vissel Kobe starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (2,044 vs 1,872).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vissel Kobe have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Tokyo Verdy have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Veroskronos Tsuno(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Tokyo(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Imabari(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 4-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama(away) | 0-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 2-4 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Vissel Kobe win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tokyo Verdy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2025 | Vissel Kobe 4-0 Tokyo Verdy | J1 League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| May 26, 2024 | Vissel Kobe 0-1 Tokyo Verdy | J1 League |
| Aug 21, 2013 | Vissel Kobe 2-1 Tokyo Verdy | J2 League |
| May 12, 2013 | Tokyo Verdy 2-1 Vissel Kobe | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Vissel Kobe vs Tokyo Verdy on Sep 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Vissel Kobe score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tokyo Verdy score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vissel Kobe | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Tokyo Verdy | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vissel Kobe sit 8th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Tokyo Verdy sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 17 | Tokyo Verdy | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vissel Kobe vs Tokyo Verdy?
- The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Tokyo Verdy.
- Where and when is Vissel Kobe vs Tokyo Verdy played?
- Vissel Kobe vs Tokyo Verdy is played on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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