JEF United Chiba vs Vissel Kobe: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba
The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Vissel Kobe?
Vissel Kobe starts as the favourite with a 229-point Elo edge (2,044 vs 1,815).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JEF United Chiba have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Vissel Kobe have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Azul Claro Numazu(home) | 1-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 0-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(home) | 0-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Veroskronos Tsuno(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Tokyo(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Imabari(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 JEF United Chiba win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Vissel Kobe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2018 | Vissel Kobe 6-1 JEF United Chiba | Emperor Cup |
| Oct 14, 2015 | Vissel Kobe 1-0 JEF United Chiba | Emperor Cup |
| Oct 6, 2013 | JEF United Chiba 2-1 Vissel Kobe | J2 League |
| Jun 8, 2013 | Vissel Kobe 2-2 JEF United Chiba | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Vissel Kobe vs JEF United Chiba on Jul 11, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Vissel Kobe score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JEF United Chiba | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Vissel Kobe | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
JEF United Chiba sit 20th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Vissel Kobe sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JEF United Chiba vs Vissel Kobe?
- The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for JEF United Chiba.
- Where and when is JEF United Chiba vs Vissel Kobe played?
- JEF United Chiba vs Vissel Kobe is played on May 22, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Fukuda Denshi Arena, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027Sanfrecce HiroshimavsKashiwa Reysol
- May 22, 2027UrawavsKyoto Sanga
- May 22, 2027FC TokyovsGamba Osaka
- May 22, 2027Kawasaki FrontalevsCerezo Osaka
- May 22, 2027Yokohama F. MarinosvsShimizu S-pulse
- May 22, 2027Mito HollyhockvsNagoya Grampus
- May 22, 2027Tokyo VerdyvsV-varen Nagasaki
- May 22, 2027Fagiano OkayamavsMachida Zelvia