Where and when is Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama played?

Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama is played on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama

Urawa

Fagiano Okayama

The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Urawa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Urawa (1,930) and Fagiano Okayama (1,935).

Urawa win35 %

Draw27 %

Fagiano Okayama win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Urawa have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Fagiano Okayama have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Urawa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Machida Zelvia(away)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)	1-4	J1 League
Aug 7, 2026	Gamba Osaka(away)	3-4	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Omiya Ardija(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2026	FC Ryukyu(away)	4-5	Friendlies Clubs

Fagiano Okayama
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(home)	0-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	FC Schalke 04(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026	Werder Bremen(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Urawa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Fagiano Okayama win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 6, 2026	Urawa 0-2 Fagiano Okayama	J1 League
May 31, 2026	Fagiano Okayama 1-1 Urawa	J1 League
Nov 30, 2025	Fagiano Okayama 0-1 Urawa	J1 League
Mar 8, 2025	Urawa 1-0 Fagiano Okayama	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama on Jun 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Urawa score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fagiano Okayama score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Urawa	1.5	1.8	4	8/15	7/15
Fagiano Okayama	1.3	1.0	7	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Urawa sit 19th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Fagiano Okayama sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Fagiano Okayama	3	1	1	1	2	2	4
19	Urawa	3	0	0	3	5	11	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama?: The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Urawa.
Where and when is Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama played?: Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama is played on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.