Match

FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

FC TokyoCerezo Osaka

The Footlab AI model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Cerezo Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Tokyo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,524 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka?

On Elo ratings, FC Tokyo has 2,143 points and Cerezo Osaka 2,054.

55%24%21%
FC Tokyo winDrawCerezo Osaka win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Tokyo

4-4-2
  1. 26M. Nagakura
  2. 39T. Nakagawa
  1. 8T. Ko
  2. 7S. Anzai
  3. 10K. Sato
  4. 20S. Nagano
  1. 24A. Scholz
  2. 4H. Inamura
  3. 6K. Bangnagande
  4. 22H. Ishihara
  1. 81Kim Seung-Gyu

Cerezo Osaka

3-4-2-1
  1. 19P. Sabbag
  1. 77Lucas Fernandes
  2. 10S. Tanaka
  3. 41Y. Komi
  4. 16H. Okuda
  5. 66A. Ohata
  6. 8S. Kagawa
  1. 97T. Takahashi
  2. 27Dion-Johan Cools
  3. 4R. Inoue
  1. 23Kosuke Nakamura

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 01:48 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Tokyo have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Cerezo Osaka have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Tokyo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Fagiano Okayama(away)4-0J1 League
Oct 25, 2026Mito Hollyhock(home)6-0J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)0-0J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)4-0J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Mito Hollyhock(away)0-1J-League Cup
Cerezo Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Kashima(away)1-4J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Mito Hollyhock(away)3-1J-League Cup
Oct 25, 2026JEF United Chiba(home)2-2J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Nagoya Grampus(away)1-1J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(home)2-4J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Tokyo wins, 3 draws, 1 Cerezo Osaka win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 6, 2026FC Tokyo 1-3 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
May 30, 2026Cerezo Osaka 2-2 FC TokyoJ1 League
Aug 6, 2025FC Tokyo 2-1 Cerezo OsakaEmperor Cup
Jun 14, 2025FC Tokyo 2-2 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
Apr 20, 2025Cerezo Osaka 1-1 FC TokyoJ1 League
Dec 8, 2024FC Tokyo 3-0 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka on Jun 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Tokyo score 2.7 and concede 0.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cerezo Osaka score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Tokyo2.70.1131/157/15
Cerezo Osaka1.51.6410/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Tokyo sit 1st in J1 League (30 points from 13 matches) and Cerezo Osaka sit 12th (14 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1FC Tokyo1393131830
12Cerezo Osaka13355132314

A question about FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Cerezo Osaka.
Where and when is FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka played?
FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka is played on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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