Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki played?

Gamba Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki is played on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Panasonic Stadium Suita, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gamba Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita

Gamba Osaka

V-varen Nagasaki

The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for V-varen Nagasaki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gamba Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki?

Gamba Osaka starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (2,024 vs 1,910).

Gamba Osaka win57 %

Draw23 %

V-varen Nagasaki win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gamba Osaka have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; V-varen Nagasaki have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gamba Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Biwako Shiga(home)	2-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(away)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 11, 2026	Gangwon FC(away)	1-0	AFC Champions League Elite
Aug 7, 2026	Urawa(home)	4-3	J1 League

V-varen Nagasaki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Ehime FC(home)	3-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	2-4	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(away)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(home)	2-1	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Utrecht(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gamba Osaka win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 V-varen Nagasaki win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki 1-1 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Mar 8, 2026	Gamba Osaka 3-2 V-varen Nagasaki	J1 League
Feb 1, 2025	Gamba Osaka 5-5 V-varen Nagasaki	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 26, 2019	Gamba Osaka 0-2 V-varen Nagasaki	J-League Cup
Jun 19, 2019	V-varen Nagasaki 1-4 Gamba Osaka	J-League Cup
Nov 24, 2018	Gamba Osaka 2-1 V-varen Nagasaki	J1 League

Last archived meeting: V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gamba Osaka score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; V-varen Nagasaki score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gamba Osaka	1.8	1.2	5	8/15	8/15
V-varen Nagasaki	1.4	1.6	2	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gamba Osaka sit 10th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and V-varen Nagasaki sit 16th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Gamba Osaka	3	1	1	1	6	7	4
16	V-varen Nagasaki	3	1	0	2	4	6	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gamba Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki?: The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for V-varen Nagasaki.
Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki played?: Gamba Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki is played on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Panasonic Stadium Suita, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.