Kyoto Sanga vs Kawasaki Frontale: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka
The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Kawasaki Frontale?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Kyoto Sanga (1,907) and Kawasaki Frontale (1,961).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyoto Sanga have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Kawasaki Frontale have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Maruyasu Okazaki(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Shonan Bellmare(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Vanraure Hachinohe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kyoto Sanga win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Kawasaki Frontale win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale 2-2 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Kawasaki Frontale 3-3 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Kawasaki Frontale vs Kyoto Sanga on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kawasaki Frontale score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyoto Sanga | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kyoto Sanga sit 18th in J1 League (1 points from 3 matches) and Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 | Kyoto Sanga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kyoto Sanga vs Kawasaki Frontale?
- The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Kyoto Sanga.
- Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs Kawasaki Frontale played?
- Kyoto Sanga vs Kawasaki Frontale is played on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Kashiwa ReysolvsFagiano Okayama
- Mar 13, 2027Vissel KobevsShimizu S-pulse
- Mar 13, 2027KashimavsSanfrecce Hiroshima
- Mar 13, 2027FC TokyovsCerezo Osaka
- Mar 13, 2027Gamba OsakavsV-varen Nagasaki
- Mar 13, 2027Yokohama F. MarinosvsAvispa Fukuoka
- Mar 13, 2027Machida ZelviavsNagoya Grampus
- Mar 13, 2027Tokyo VerdyvsMito Hollyhock