Yokohama F. Marinos vs Avispa Fukuoka: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nissan Stadium, Yokohama
The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Avispa Fukuoka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Avispa Fukuoka?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Yokohama F. Marinos (1,976) and Avispa Fukuoka (1,926).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Avispa Fukuoka have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kashima(home) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Verspah Oita(home) | 0-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 2-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(home) | 3-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Avispa Fukuoka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Yokohama F. Marinos 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Avispa Fukuoka 0-4 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| May 28, 2023 | Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Avispa Fukuoka on Sep 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Avispa Fukuoka score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Avispa Fukuoka | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th in J1 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Avispa Fukuoka sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Avispa Fukuoka?
- The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Avispa Fukuoka.
- Where and when is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Avispa Fukuoka played?
- Yokohama F. Marinos vs Avispa Fukuoka is played on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nissan Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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