Match

Tokyo Verdy vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueMatchday 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

Tokyo VerdyMito Hollyhock

The Footlab AI model makes Tokyo Verdy the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tokyo Verdy wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,428 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Mito Hollyhock?

A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Tokyo Verdy (1,989) and Mito Hollyhock (1,911).

47%27%26%
Tokyo Verdy winDrawMito Hollyhock win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Tokyo Verdy vs Mito Hollyhock

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Tokyo Verdy

4-4-2
  1. 33K. Ichimi
  2. 9I. Someno
  1. 40Y. Arai
  2. 19K. Fujimoto
  3. 16R. Hirakawa
  4. 8K. Saito
  1. 4N. Hayashi
  2. 18S. Mizoguchi
  3. 96Cho Yu-Min
  4. 22Y. Uchida
  1. 1Matheus Vidotto

Mito Hollyhock

4-4-2
  1. 30J. Okumura
  2. 9R. Nemoto
  1. 19T. Semba
  2. 44M. Nishihara
  3. 20Y. Funabashi
  4. 22K. Taniguchi
  1. 17K. Itakura
  2. 3K. Osaki
  3. 16Y. Tamura
  4. 25T. Mase
  1. 27J. Słowik

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 02:49 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tokyo Verdy have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Mito Hollyhock have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tokyo Verdy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(away)1-0J1 League
Nov 1, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(away)2-1J1 League
Oct 24, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)3-1J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)2-2J1 League
Oct 17, 2026FC Tokyo(home)0-4J1 League
Mito Hollyhock
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026JEF United Chiba(away)0-1J1 League
Oct 31, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)0-3J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)1-3J-League Cup
Oct 25, 2026FC Tokyo(away)0-6J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Fagiano Okayama(away)0-2J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Tokyo Verdy wins, 1 draw, 1 Mito Hollyhock win.

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Mito Hollyhock 0-1 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
Feb 8, 2026Tokyo Verdy 3-1 Mito HollyhockJ1 League
Jul 29, 2023Tokyo Verdy 0-0 Mito HollyhockJ2 League
Apr 29, 2023Mito Hollyhock 0-2 Tokyo VerdyJ2 League
Sep 21, 2022Mito Hollyhock 1-2 Tokyo VerdyJ2 League
May 14, 2022Tokyo Verdy 0-2 Mito HollyhockJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tokyo Verdy score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tokyo Verdy1.11.447/157/15
Mito Hollyhock1.11.735/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tokyo Verdy sit 14th in J1 League (14 points from 14 matches) and Mito Hollyhock sit 19th (9 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Tokyo Verdy14356122214
19Mito Hollyhock1423912269

A question about Tokyo Verdy vs Mito Hollyhock?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tokyo Verdy vs Mito Hollyhock?
The Footlab AI model makes Tokyo Verdy the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Mito Hollyhock.
Where and when is Tokyo Verdy vs Mito Hollyhock played?
Tokyo Verdy vs Mito Hollyhock is played on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Tokyo Verdy and Mito Hollyhock