Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa
The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Fagiano Okayama. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Kashiwa Reysol (2,026) and Fagiano Okayama (1,938).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashiwa Reysol have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Fagiano Okayama have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Senshu University(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 4-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 2-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Beluga Rosso Iwami(home) | 3-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(home) | 0-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Kashiwa Reysol win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Fagiano Okayama win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2025 | Fagiano Okayama 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| May 10, 2025 | Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 Fagiano Okayama | J1 League |
| Jul 31, 2019 | Fagiano Okayama 0-4 Kashiwa Reysol | J2 League |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 Fagiano Okayama | J2 League |
| Oct 16, 2013 | Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Fagiano Okayama | Emperor Cup |
Last archived meeting: Fagiano Okayama vs Kashiwa Reysol on Aug 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kashiwa Reysol score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Fagiano Okayama score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Fagiano Okayama | 1.4 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and Fagiano Okayama sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama?
- The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Fagiano Okayama.
- Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama played?
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama is played on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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