Match

Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa

Kashiwa ReysolFagiano Okayama

The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Fagiano Okayama. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Kashiwa Reysol (2,026) and Fagiano Okayama (1,938).

Kashiwa Reysol win45 %
Draw27 %
Fagiano Okayama win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashiwa Reysol have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Fagiano Okayama have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kashiwa Reysol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Senshu University(home)2-1Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)4-2J1 League
Aug 14, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)3-1J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Mito Hollyhock(home)2-1J1 League
Aug 1, 2026JEF United Chiba(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Fagiano Okayama
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Beluga Rosso Iwami(home)3-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Tokyo Verdy(home)0-0J1 League
Aug 15, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)1-0J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Cerezo Osaka(away)1-2J1 League
Jul 25, 2026FC Schalke 04(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Kashiwa Reysol win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Fagiano Okayama win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 17, 2025Fagiano Okayama 2-1 Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
May 10, 2025Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 Fagiano OkayamaJ1 League
Jul 31, 2019Fagiano Okayama 0-4 Kashiwa ReysolJ2 League
Mar 23, 2019Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 Fagiano OkayamaJ2 League
Oct 16, 2013Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Fagiano OkayamaEmperor Cup

Last archived meeting: Fagiano Okayama vs Kashiwa Reysol on Aug 17, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kashiwa Reysol score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Fagiano Okayama score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kashiwa Reysol1.61.237/157/15
Fagiano Okayama1.41.077/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and Fagiano Okayama sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Kashiwa Reysol3300949
9Fagiano Okayama3111224

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama?
The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Fagiano Okayama.
Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama played?
Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama is played on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Kashiwa Reysol and Fagiano Okayama

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