Kashima vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima
The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kashima vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Kashima (2,160) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima (2,090).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashima have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Suzuka Unlimited(home) | 3-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(home) | 3-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(home) | 2-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 4-3 | J1 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Vegalta Sendai(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Okinawa SV(home) | 4-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Urawa(away) | 4-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(home) | 3-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Verspah Oita(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kashima win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2025 | Kashima 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 Kashima | J1 League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Kashima 2-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League |
| May 15, 2024 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-3 Kashima | J1 League |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 Kashima | J1 League |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Kashima 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Kashima vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima on Jun 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kashima score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashima | 2.0 | 1.0 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kashima sit 3rd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kashima | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kashima vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
- The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- Where and when is Kashima vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima played?
- Kashima vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is played on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kashima Soccer Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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