Match

Kashima vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima

KashimaSanfrecce Hiroshima

The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kashima wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,560 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kashima vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Kashima (2,165) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima (2,154).

38%27%35%
Kashima winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kashima vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kashima

4-4-2
  1. 40Y. Suzuki
  2. 9Léo Ceará
  1. 27Y. Matsumura
  2. 6K. Misao
  3. 10G. Shibasaki
  4. 24H. Hayashu
  1. 55N. Ueda
  2. 23K. Tsukui
  3. 7R. Ogawa
  4. 3Kim Tae-Hyeon
  1. 1T. Hayakawa

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

3-4-2-1
  1. 23S. Ayukawa
  1. 10A. Suzuki
  2. 5N. Arai
  3. 18D. Suga
  4. 35Y. Nakajima
  5. 6H. Kawabe
  6. 11M. Kato
  1. 4H. Araki
  2. 15S. Nakano
  3. 37Kim Ju-Sung
  1. 1K. Osako

Computed on October 26, 2026 at 04:35 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashima have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)2-3J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)2-2J1 League
Oct 17, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)2-0J1 League
Oct 13, 2026Công An Nhân Dân(away)1-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 9, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)2-0J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(home)4-0J1 League
Oct 21, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(away)0-4J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)3-0J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)1-0J-League Cup
Oct 11, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)2-0J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kashima win, 3 draws, 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 14, 2025Kashima 1-1 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League
Apr 2, 2025Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 KashimaJ1 League
Sep 14, 2024Kashima 2-2 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League
May 15, 2024Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-3 KashimaJ1 League
Jul 8, 2023Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 KashimaJ1 League
Apr 1, 2023Kashima 1-2 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Kashima vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima on Jun 14, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kashima score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kashima2.31.359/1510/15
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2.50.795/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kashima sit 8th in J1 League (20 points from 12 matches) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 3rd (26 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Sanfrecce Hiroshima12822291026
8Kashima12624252120

A question about Kashima vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kashima vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Where and when is Kashima vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima played?
Kashima vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is played on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kashima Soccer Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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