Match

Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Machida Gion Stadium, Tokyo

Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus

The Footlab AI model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Nagoya Grampus. The most likely score is 1-1. If Machida Zelvia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,533 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?

Machida Zelvia starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (2,166 vs 1,968).

56%24%20%
Machida Zelvia winDrawNagoya Grampus win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Machida Zelvia

3-4-2-1
  1. 9Koki Ogawa
  1. 6H. Mochizuki
  2. 20T. Nishimura
  3. 16H. Mae
  4. 7Y. Soma
  5. 33T. Akimoto
  6. 31N. Lavi
  1. 3G. Shōji
  2. 2T. Ouwejan
  3. 24Kim Min-Tae
  1. 1K. Tani

Nagoya Grampus

3-4-2-1
  1. 18K. Nagai
  1. 15S. Inagaki
  2. 22Y. Kimura
  3. 17T. Uchida
  4. 7R. Izumi
  5. 27K. Nakayama
  6. 14T. Morishima
  1. 70T. Hara
  2. 3Y. Sato
  3. 2Y. Nogami
  1. 1D. Schmidt

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:07 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Machida Zelvia have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Nagoya Grampus have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Machida Zelvia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 5, 2026Shanghai Shenhua(home)2-1AFC Champions League Two
Nov 1, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)0-0J1 League
Oct 29, 2026Shanghai Shenhua(away)1-0AFC Champions League Two
Oct 24, 2026Vissel Kobe(away)0-0J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(away)5-0J1 League
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Vissel Kobe(away)1-3J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Urawa(home)1-2J-League Cup
Oct 25, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(home)1-1J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)1-1J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(away)3-1J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Machida Zelvia wins, 1 draw, 0 Nagoya Grampus wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 6, 2026Nagoya Grampus 1-3 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Jun 6, 2026Machida Zelvia 2-1 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
May 30, 2026Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Nov 30, 2025Machida Zelvia 3-1 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
Mar 2, 2025Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Jul 6, 2024Machida Zelvia 1-0 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia on Sep 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Machida Zelvia score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Machida Zelvia1.70.696/157/15
Nagoya Grampus1.51.8012/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Machida Zelvia sit 3rd in J1 League (28 points from 13 matches) and Nagoya Grampus sit 11th (14 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Machida Zelvia13841301028
11Nagoya Grampus13427152114

A question about Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?
The Footlab AI model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Nagoya Grampus.
Where and when is Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus played?
Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus is played on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Machida Gion Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Machida Zelvia and Nagoya Grampus

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