Match

FC Tokyo vs Kawasaki Frontale: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

FC TokyoKawasaki Frontale

The Footlab AI model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Kawasaki Frontale. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Tokyo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Kawasaki Frontale?

On Elo ratings, FC Tokyo has 2,129 points and Kawasaki Frontale 2,070.

53%24%23%
FC Tokyo winDrawKawasaki Frontale win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Tokyo vs Kawasaki Frontale

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Tokyo

4-4-2
  1. 26M. Nagakura
  2. 39T. Nakagawa
  1. 8T. Ko
  2. 7S. Anzai
  3. 10K. Sato
  4. 20S. Nagano
  1. 24A. Scholz
  2. 4H. Inamura
  3. 6K. Bangnagande
  4. 22H. Ishihara
  1. 81Kim Seung-Gyu

Kawasaki Frontale

4-2-3-1
  1. 97Derik Lacerda
  1. 23Marcinho
  2. 8K. Tachibanada
  3. 17T. Ito
  4. 6Y. Yamamoto
  5. 14Y. Wakizaka
  1. 4Pedro Romano
  2. 22F. Uremović
  3. 13S. Miura
  4. 5A. Sasaki
  1. 49S. Brodersen

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 09:40 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Tokyo have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Kawasaki Frontale have 11, 1 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Tokyo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Fagiano Okayama(away)4-0J1 League
Oct 25, 2026Mito Hollyhock(home)6-0J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)0-0J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)4-0J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Mito Hollyhock(away)0-1J-League Cup
Kawasaki Frontale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)2-4J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Sagan Tosu(away)2-0J-League Cup
Oct 25, 2026Fagiano Okayama(home)2-1J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Vissel Kobe(home)2-1J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Cerezo Osaka(away)4-2J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Tokyo wins, 0 draws, 3 Kawasaki Frontale wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026FC Tokyo 2-0 Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League
Feb 21, 2026Kawasaki Frontale 1-2 FC TokyoJ1 League
Sep 20, 2025Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 FC TokyoJ1 League
Mar 29, 2025FC Tokyo 0-3 Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League
Aug 11, 2024FC Tokyo 0-3 Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League
Mar 30, 2024Kawasaki Frontale 3-0 FC TokyoJ1 League

Last archived meeting: FC Tokyo vs Kawasaki Frontale on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Tokyo score 2.7 and concede 0.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kawasaki Frontale score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Tokyo2.70.1131/157/15
Kawasaki Frontale2.31.3510/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Tokyo sit 1st in J1 League (30 points from 13 matches) and Kawasaki Frontale sit 7th (22 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1FC Tokyo1393131830
7Kawasaki Frontale13643272222

A question about FC Tokyo vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Tokyo vs Kawasaki Frontale?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Kawasaki Frontale.
Where and when is FC Tokyo vs Kawasaki Frontale played?
FC Tokyo vs Kawasaki Frontale is played on December 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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