Urawa vs Kawasaki Frontale: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama
The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Kawasaki Frontale. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Urawa vs Kawasaki Frontale?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Urawa (1,930) and Kawasaki Frontale (1,959).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Urawa have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Kawasaki Frontale have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(away) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home) | 1-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(away) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(away) | 4-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Vanraure Hachinohe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Urawa win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Kawasaki Frontale win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Urawa 2-0 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale 3-2 Urawa | J1 League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Urawa 4-0 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Kawasaki Frontale 3-2 Urawa | J-League Cup |
| Sep 3, 2025 | Urawa 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale | J-League Cup |
| May 21, 2025 | Kawasaki Frontale 2-2 Urawa | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Urawa vs Kawasaki Frontale on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Urawa score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kawasaki Frontale score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urawa | 1.5 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Urawa sit 19th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 19 | Urawa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Urawa vs Kawasaki Frontale?
- The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Kawasaki Frontale.
- Where and when is Urawa vs Kawasaki Frontale played?
- Urawa vs Kawasaki Frontale is played on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Sanfrecce HiroshimavsKashima
- Dec 12, 2026Shimizu S-pulsevsVissel Kobe
- Dec 12, 2026Nagoya GrampusvsMito Hollyhock
- Dec 12, 2026Cerezo OsakavsMachida Zelvia
- Dec 12, 2026Gamba OsakavsTokyo Verdy
- Dec 12, 2026Yokohama F. MarinosvsV-varen Nagasaki
- Dec 12, 2026Kyoto SangavsJEF United Chiba
- Dec 12, 2026Fagiano OkayamavsKashiwa Reysol