Match

Urawa vs Nagoya Grampus: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama

UrawaNagoya Grampus

The Footlab AI model makes Urawa the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Nagoya Grampus. The most likely score is 1-1. If Urawa wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,502 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Urawa vs Nagoya Grampus?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Urawa (2,045) and Nagoya Grampus (1,987).

39%26%35%
Urawa winDrawNagoya Grampus win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Urawa vs Nagoya Grampus

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Urawa

4-3-3
  1. 10Matheus Sávio
  2. 7T. Kaneko
  3. 45A. Onaiwu
  1. 12T. Seko
  2. 25K. Yasui
  3. 37H. Ueki
  1. 2Y. Miyamoto
  2. 3Danilo Boza
  3. 5K. Nemoto
  4. 18K. Hayashi
  1. 1S. Nishikawa

Nagoya Grampus

3-4-2-1
  1. 18K. Nagai
  1. 15S. Inagaki
  2. 22Y. Kimura
  3. 14T. Morishima
  4. 7R. Izumi
  5. 17T. Uchida
  6. 27K. Nakayama
  1. 31T. Takamine
  2. 70T. Hara
  3. 55S. Tokumoto
  1. 1D. Schmidt

Computed on October 25, 2026 at 09:43 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Urawa have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Nagoya Grampus have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Urawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)1-0J1 League
Oct 21, 2026JEF United Chiba(home)3-2J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Mito Hollyhock(away)1-0J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Yokohama FC(away)4-0J-League Cup
Oct 10, 2026FC Tokyo(away)0-3J1 League
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(home)1-1J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)1-1J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(away)3-1J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Fagiano Okayama(home)3-3J-League Cup
Oct 11, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(away)2-1J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Urawa wins, 0 draws, 2 Nagoya Grampus wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2025Urawa 2-1 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
May 24, 2025Nagoya Grampus 2-1 UrawaJ1 League
Jun 26, 2024Nagoya Grampus 0-1 UrawaJ1 League
Apr 28, 2024Urawa 2-1 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
Aug 18, 2023Urawa 1-0 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
Aug 2, 2023Nagoya Grampus 3-0 UrawaEmperor Cup

Last archived meeting: Urawa vs Nagoya Grampus on Aug 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Urawa score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nagoya Grampus score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Urawa2.11.559/1512/15
Nagoya Grampus1.41.7011/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Urawa sit 7th in J1 League (21 points from 12 matches) and Nagoya Grampus sit 11th (14 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Urawa12705212321
11Nagoya Grampus12426141814

A question about Urawa vs Nagoya Grampus?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Urawa vs Nagoya Grampus?
The Footlab AI model makes Urawa the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Nagoya Grampus.
Where and when is Urawa vs Nagoya Grampus played?
Urawa vs Nagoya Grampus is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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