Where and when is Urawa vs Nagoya Grampus played?

Urawa vs Nagoya Grampus is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Urawa vs Nagoya Grampus: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama

Urawa

Nagoya Grampus

The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Nagoya Grampus. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Urawa vs Nagoya Grampus?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Urawa (1,930) and Nagoya Grampus (1,951).

Urawa win38 %

Draw25 %

Nagoya Grampus win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Urawa have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Nagoya Grampus have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Urawa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Machida Zelvia(away)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)	1-4	J1 League
Aug 7, 2026	Gamba Osaka(away)	3-4	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Omiya Ardija(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2026	FC Ryukyu(away)	4-5	Friendlies Clubs

Nagoya Grampus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kashima(away)	1-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	0-1	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	Consadole Sapporo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Urawa win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Nagoya Grampus win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2025	Urawa 2-1 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
May 24, 2025	Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Urawa	J1 League
Jun 26, 2024	Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Urawa	J1 League
Apr 28, 2024	Urawa 2-1 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
Aug 18, 2023	Urawa 1-0 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
Aug 2, 2023	Nagoya Grampus 3-0 Urawa	Emperor Cup

Last archived meeting: Urawa vs Nagoya Grampus on Aug 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Urawa score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Urawa	1.5	1.8	4	8/15	7/15
Nagoya Grampus	1.5	1.7	2	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Urawa sit 19th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Nagoya Grampus sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Nagoya Grampus	3	1	0	2	4	4	3
19	Urawa	3	0	0	3	5	11	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Urawa vs Nagoya Grampus?: The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Nagoya Grampus.
Where and when is Urawa vs Nagoya Grampus played?: Urawa vs Nagoya Grampus is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.