Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos played?

Gamba Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Panasonic Stadium Suita, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gamba Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita

Gamba Osaka

Yokohama F. Marinos

The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Yokohama F. Marinos. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Gamba Osaka (2,024) and Yokohama F. Marinos (1,976).

Gamba Osaka win47 %

Draw26 %

Yokohama F. Marinos win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gamba Osaka have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Yokohama F. Marinos have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gamba Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Biwako Shiga(home)	2-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(away)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 11, 2026	Gangwon FC(away)	1-0	AFC Champions League Elite
Aug 7, 2026	Urawa(home)	4-3	J1 League

Yokohama F. Marinos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Fukushima United(home)	1-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Vissel Kobe(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(away)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 7, 2026	Kashima(home)	3-4	J1 League
Jul 19, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gamba Osaka win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 23, 2025	Gamba Osaka 3-1 Yokohama F. Marinos	J1 League
Mar 16, 2025	Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Oct 27, 2024	Yokohama F. Marinos 2-3 Gamba Osaka	Emperor Cup
Jul 6, 2024	Gamba Osaka 4-0 Yokohama F. Marinos	J1 League
Apr 10, 2024	Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Aug 12, 2023	Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 Gamba Osaka	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Gamba Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos on Sep 23, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Gamba Osaka score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gamba Osaka	1.8	1.2	5	8/15	8/15
Yokohama F. Marinos	1.9	1.1	5	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gamba Osaka sit 10th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Yokohama F. Marinos	3	2	0	1	5	4	6
10	Gamba Osaka	3	1	1	1	6	7	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gamba Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos?: The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Yokohama F. Marinos.
Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos played?: Gamba Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Panasonic Stadium Suita, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.